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League Cup
Referee: Ross Joyce
Barrow
T S U T T
0–1
Full-time
Preston
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barrow Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,96 xG 1,46
38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 13
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Barrow Preston
28′
🔁 A. McCann
↦ M. Frokjaer-Jensen
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 T. Small
↦ T. Carroll
55′
🔁 B. Whiteman
↦ A. Devine
55′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ M. Osmajic
E. Newby 🔁
↦ D. Worrall
62′
I. Cameron 🔁
↦ T. Walker
67′
67′
C. Raglan 1–0
own goal
T. Barkhuizen 🔁
↦ J. Earing
68′
77′
🔁 A. Hughes
↦ A. Vukcevic
Elliot Newby 🟨
81′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Barrow

5-3-2
31 B. Winterbottom G
27 D. Worrall D
5 C. Raglan D
6 N. Canavan D
3 L. Shipley D
7 B. Jackson D
21 J. Earing M
22 R. Booty
8 S. Smith M
23 C. Mahoney F
10 T. Walker F
Bench (5)
1 W. Stanway
11 E. Newby
16 S. Foley
18 I. Cameron
29 T. Barkhuizen

Coach: Andrew Whing

Preston

3-5-1-1
12 J. Walton G
42 O. Offiah D
19 L. Gibson D
3 A. Vukcevic D
2 P. Valentin M
20 T. Carroll M
22 S. T. Thordarson M
21 A. Devine M
23 J. Okkels M
10 M. Frokjaer-Jensen F
28 M. Osmajic F
Bench (8)
1 D. Iversen
14 J. Storey
16 A. Hughes
26 T. Small
4 B. Whiteman
8 A. McCann
24 M. Smith
31 M. Ayodele

Coach: Paul Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.