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League Cup
Referee: Leigh Doughty
Coventry
T S T U U
1–0
Full-time
Luton
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Luton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,33 xG 1,18
54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Apr -25 Luton – Coventry 1–0 26. Oct -24 Coventry – Luton 3–2 27. May -23 Coventry – Luton 1–1 14. Sep -22 Luton – Coventry 2–2 8. Mar -22 Coventry – Luton 0–1

Match report

Coventry Luton
40′
🟨 Thomas Holmes
Half-time 0–0
L. Kitching 🔁
↦ B. Thomas
46′
46′
🔁 N. Lonwijk
↦ C. Bramall
1–0 E. Simms ⚽
H. Wright
57′
59′
🔁 J. Richards
↦ G. Kodua
59′
🔁 M. Alli
↦ C. Woodrow
M. Grimes 🔁
↦ V. Torp
63′
J. Rudoni 🔁
↦ H. Wright
63′
T. Sakamoto 🔁
↦ K. Andrews
63′
63′
🔁 J. Phillips
↦ T. Holmes
64′
🔁 J. Yates
↦ L. Nordas
B. Thomas-Asante 🔁
↦ R. Borges Rodrigues
75′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Coventry

4-4-2
13 B. Wilson G
20 K. Kesler-Hayden D
4 B. Thomas D
21 J. Bidwell D
33 M. Brau D
17 R. Borges Rodrigues M
29 V. Torp M
8 J. Allen M
54 K. Andrews M
9 E. Simms F
11 H. Wright F
Bench (9)
40 B. Collins
15 L. Kitching
41 C. Perry
27 M. van Ewijk
6 M. Grimes
5 J. Rudoni
7 T. Sakamoto
36 J. Obikwu
23 B. Thomas-Asante

Coach: Frank James Lampard Junior

Luton

3-4-3
1 J. Shea G
42 C. Chigozie D
6 M. McGuinness D
29 T. Holmes D
30 G. Kodua M
8 L. Walsh M
37 Z. Nelson M
33 C. Bramall M
22 L. Fanne F
20 L. Nordas F
10 C. Woodrow F
Bench (9)
24 J. Keeley
5 M. Andersen
17 N. Lonwijk
18 J. Clark
39 J. Phillips
27 J. Richards
23 G. Saville
7 M. Alli
9 J. Yates

Coach: Matthew James Bloomfield

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Leigh Doughty · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.