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League Cup
Referee: Oliver Yates
Wigan
U S S S T
1–0
Full-time
Notts County
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wigan Notts County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
5,2
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,41 xG 1,11
36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Wigan Notts County
1–0 P. Mullin ⚽
10′
Tobias Brenan 🟨
23′
F. Murray 🔁
↦ I. Mabaya
29′
32′
🟨 Barry Cotter
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Gordon
↦ B. Cotter
Sam Tickle 🟨
54′
L. Graham 🔁
↦ T. Brenan
64′
D. Costelloe 🔁
↦ P. Mullin
64′
64′
🔁 T. Hall
↦ C. Grant
64′
🔁 M. Dennis
↦ J. Jones
Fraser Murray 🟨
68′
73′
🔁 Q. Kouhyar
↦ K. Bennetts
H. McHugh 🔁
↦ C. Wright
74′
C. Saydee 🔁
↦ M. Asamoah
75′
Jensen Weir 🟨
83′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Wigan

3-1-4-2
1 S. Tickle G
6 J. Weir D
15 J. Kerr D
19 L. Robinson D
27 T. Brenan
2 I. Mabaya M
8 C. Wright M
14 R. Trevitt M
44 J. Hungbo M
37 M. Asamoah F
10 P. Mullin F
Bench (9)
12 T. Watson
22 J. Mellish
24 H. McHugh
35 T. Francois
7 F. Murray
48 J. Rogers
28 L. Graham
9 C. Saydee
11 D. Costelloe

Coach: Ryan Thomas Lowe

Notts County

3-4-2-1
1 K. Roos G
23 S. Aljofree D
3 R. McDonald D
4 J. Bedeau D
37 B. Cotter M
14 T. Iorpenda M
18 M. Palmer M
47 K. Bennetts M
10 J. Jones F
11 C. Grant F
16 J. Luker F
Bench (9)
21 H. Griffiths
5 M. Platt
8 O. Norburn
6 J. Hinchy
22 C. Edwards
26 T. Hall
2 K. Gordon
17 Q. Kouhyar
19 M. Dennis

Coach: Martin Andrew Paterson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.