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League Cup
Referee: James Linington
Watford
T T T U T
1–2
Full-time
Norwich
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Norwich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,0
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,26 xG 1,11
44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Feb -25 Watford – Norwich 0–1 21. Sep -24 Norwich – Watford 4–1 13. Feb -24 Norwich – Watford 4–2 28. Nov -23 Watford – Norwich 3–2 2. Jan -23 Norwich – Watford 0–1

Match report

Watford Norwich
10′
⚽ J. Sargent 0–1
P. A. Diallo
24′
⚽ M. Nunez 0–2
P. A. Diallo
Half-time 0–2
J. Ngakia 🔁
↦ J. Grieves
46′
K. Keben 🔁
↦ T. Dele-Bashiru
46′
I. Louza 🔁
↦ R. Andrews
46′
46′
🔁 J. Wright
↦ M. Topic
Edo Kayembe 🟨
49′
K. Baah 🔁
↦ T. Ince
62′
62′
🔁 J. Schlupp
↦ P. A. Diallo
62′
🔁 J. Makama
↦ J. Sargent
66′
🟨 Jakov Medić
1–2 K. Baah ⚽
I. Louza
68′
73′
🔁 L. Gibbs
↦ O. Schwartau
L. Kjerrumgaard 🔁
↦ V. Semedo
80′
82′
🔁 M. Jurasek
↦ K. Fisher
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Watford

4-4-2
1 E. Selvik G
45 R. Andrews D
3 M. Alleyne D
5 H. Kyprianou D
16 M. Bola D
7 T. Ince M
43 J. Grieves M
24 T. Dele-Bashiru M
66 N. Irankunda M
18 V. Semedo F
39 E. Kayembe F
Bench (9)
12 N. Baxter
2 J. Ngakia
4 K. Keben
9 L. Kjerrumgaard
10 I. Louza
17 M. Sissoko
20 M. Doumbia
34 K. Baah
50 J. Mullins

Coach: Paulo César Pezzolano Suárez

Norwich

4-2-3-1
32 D. Grimshaw G
35 K. Fisher D
5 J. Medic D
6 H. Darling D
14 B. Chrisene D
26 M. Nunez M
22 M. Topic M
29 O. Schwartau M
11 E. Marcondes M
19 P. A. Diallo M
9 J. Sargent F
Bench (9)
31 L. Moulden
4 S. Duffy
33 J. Cordoba
15 R. McConville
27 J. Schlupp
8 L. Gibbs
10 M. Jurasek
16 J. Wright
24 J. Makama

Coach: Liam Manning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

James Linington · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.