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Belgisk cup

Voorde Appelterre

S U T S S

3–1

Full-time

Ostiches

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Voorde Appelterre Ostiches

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,5

This season — Belgisk cup · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

4,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Voorde Appelterre 11. · Ostiches 105. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Meix-Devant-Virton	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Jong Lede	3	2	1	0	+11	7
3	Wezel	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Schoonbeek-Beverst	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	City Pirates Antwerpen	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Tempo Overijse	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Arquet	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	DT Borsbeke	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	FC Du Geer	3	2	1	0	+2	7
10	Heist	2	2	0	0	+9	6
11	Voorde Appelterre	2	2	0	0	+8	6
12	Nijlen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Londerzeel	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Braine	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	Eendracht Termien	2	2	0	0	+5	6
16	Westhoek	2	2	0	0	+5	6
17	Oudenaarde	2	2	0	0	+4	6
18	Gullegem	2	2	0	0	+4	6
19	Acren-Lessines	2	2	0	0	+4	6
20	RUS Binche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
21	Wilrijk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
22	Turkse Rangers	3	2	0	1	+3	6
23	Rotselaar	2	2	0	0	+3	6
24	RFC Wetteren	2	2	0	0	+3	6
25	Diksmuide	2	2	0	0	+3	6
26	Cappellen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
27	Evelette-Jallet	3	2	0	1	+2	6
28	Rumbeke	3	2	0	1	+2	6
29	Erpe-Mere United	3	2	0	1	+2	6
30	Jodoigne	3	2	0	1	+1	6
31	Lille	3	2	0	1	+1	6
32	Zwevegem Sport	3	2	0	1	+0	6
33	Marke	3	2	0	1	-1	6
34	Elsautoise	2	1	1	0	+5	4
35	Latem	3	1	1	1	+2	4
36	Sprimont	3	1	1	1	+2	4
37	Kosova Schaerbeek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
38	Achel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
39	FC Lebbeke	2	1	0	1	+6	3
40	Zepperen-Brustem	2	1	0	1	+6	3
41	Sporting Hasselt	1	1	0	0	+6	3
42	De Kempen	2	1	0	1	+4	3
43	Blankenberge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
44	Excelsior Virton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
45	Dessel Sport	1	1	0	0	+4	3
46	Léopold	2	1	0	1	+3	3
47	Albert Quévy-Mons	1	1	0	0	+3	3
48	Crossing Schaerbeek	1	1	0	0	+3	3
49	Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
50	Houtvenne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
51	Ninove	1	1	0	0	+3	3
52	Spouwen-Mopertingen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
53	Merelbeke	1	1	0	0	+3	3
54	Wallonne Ciney	2	1	0	1	+2	3
55	Wellen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
56	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	2	1	0	1	+2	3
57	Turnhout	2	1	0	1	+2	3
58	Berg en Dal	2	1	0	1	+2	3
59	Hoogstraten	1	1	0	0	+2	3
60	Knokke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
61	Biesme	2	1	0	1	+1	3
62	Richelle United	2	1	0	1	+1	3
63	Sint-Lenaarts	2	1	0	1	+1	3
64	La Calamine	2	1	0	1	+1	3
65	Etterbeek	2	1	0	1	+1	3
66	Drongen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
67	Wanze / Bas-Oha	2	1	0	1	+1	3
68	Diegem Sport	1	1	0	0	+1	3
69	Lauwe	2	1	0	1	+1	3
70	Meux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
71	Thes Sport	1	1	0	0	+1	3
72	Berchem Sport	2	1	0	1	+0	3
73	Raeren-Eynatten	2	1	0	1	+0	3
74	Saint-Vith	2	1	0	1	+0	3
75	Messancy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
76	Club Roeselare	2	1	0	1	+0	3
77	Ganshoren	2	1	0	1	+0	3
78	Sporting Bruxelles	2	1	0	1	-1	3
79	Mandel United	2	1	0	1	-1	3
80	Harelbeke	2	1	0	1	-1	3
81	Grand-Leez	2	1	0	1	-1	3
82	Elene-Grotenberge	2	1	0	1	-1	3
83	K. Kontich	2	1	0	1	-1	3
84	Sassport Boezinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
85	La Hulpe	2	1	0	1	-2	3
86	Haasdonk	2	1	0	1	-2	3
87	Gosselies Sports	2	1	0	1	-2	3
88	Le Roeulx	2	1	0	1	-2	3
89	Jette	2	1	0	1	-2	3
90	Oostkamp	2	1	0	1	-2	3
91	KBSK Retie	2	1	0	1	-2	3
92	Zwarte Leeuw	2	1	0	1	-3	3
93	Hades	2	1	0	1	-4	3
94	RESC Houffaloise	2	1	0	1	-4	3
95	Sparta Petegem	2	0	2	0	+0	2
96	PAC Buzet	3	0	2	1	-1	2
97	Onhaye	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Antoing	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Tilffois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Aische	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Meux II	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	Stade Everois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	Tubize	1	0	1	0	+0	1
104	Esperanza Pelt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
105	Ostiches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
106	Habay-la-Neuve	1	0	1	0	+0	1
107	Roeselare Daisel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
108	Molenbaix	1	0	1	0	+0	1
109	Stade Verviers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
110	Huldenberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
111	Olsa Brakel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
112	Torhout	1	0	1	0	+0	1
113	Rupel Boom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
114	Entité Manageoise	2	0	1	1	-1	1
115	Fenixx BeigHum	2	0	1	1	-2	1
116	Betekom	2	0	1	1	-2	1
117	Bioul	2	0	1	1	-3	1
118	RAS Monceau	2	0	1	1	-3	1
119	Ezaart Sport Mol	2	0	1	1	-4	1
120	Marloie Sport	2	0	1	1	-4	1
121	Sparta Waasmunster	2	0	1	1	-7	1
122	Berlaar-Heikant	1	0	0	1	-1	0
123	KRC Gent	1	0	0	1	-1	0
124	Mormont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
125	Verlaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Stockay-Warfusée	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	Wambeek-Ternat	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Harre-Manhay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Waterloo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Zelzate	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	HO Kalken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Tournai	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Zonhoven United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Racing Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
136	's Gravenwezel-Schilde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
137	Luingnois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
138	Verlaine II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
139	Hannut	1	0	0	1	-1	0
140	La Louvière Centre	1	0	0	1	-1	0
141	Huy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
142	VW Hamme	1	0	0	1	-1	0
143	Bocholt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
144	Union Namur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
145	Dessel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
146	Waremme	1	0	0	1	-1	0
147	Stade Mouscronnois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
148	Sparta Heestert	1	0	0	1	-2	0
149	Rochefort	1	0	0	1	-2	0
150	Torpedo Hasselt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
151	Loyers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
152	Olympia Wijgmaal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
153	Aubel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	Eendracht Aalter	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Libramont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
156	Tienen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
157	Oppagne-Wéris	1	0	0	1	-2	0
158	Avanti	1	0	0	1	-2	0
159	Aywaille	1	0	0	1	-2	0
160	RUS Assenois	1	0	0	1	-2	0
161	Condruzien	1	0	0	1	-2	0
162	Tongeren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
163	KSK Beveren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
164	Wanze / Bas-Oha II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
165	Landen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
166	FC Eupen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
167	Denderhoutem	1	0	0	1	-3	0
168	Ardooie	1	0	0	1	-3	0
169	Flénu	1	0	0	1	-3	0
170	Sint-Denijs Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
171	Berlare	1	0	0	1	-3	0
172	Witgoor Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
173	Bevel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
174	Rochefort II	1	0	0	1	-4	0
175	Grobbendonk	1	0	0	1	-4	0
176	Longlier	1	0	0	1	-4	0
177	Pepingen-Halle	1	0	0	1	-4	0
178	Herk	1	0	0	1	-4	0
179	Galmaarden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
180	Union Momalloise	1	0	0	1	-4	0
181	Noduwez	1	0	0	1	-5	0
182	Herent	1	0	0	1	-5	0
183	Chevetogne	1	0	0	1	-5	0
184	Elewijt	1	0	0	1	-5	0
185	Eeklo Meetjesland	1	0	0	1	-5	0
186	Noordstar Noorderwijk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
187	Munkzwalm	1	0	0	1	-8	0
188	Wallonia Libin	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Jong Lede	3	2	1	0	+11	7
2	FC Du Geer	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Voorde Appelterre	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Nijlen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Wezel	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Wilrijk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Turkse Rangers	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Braine	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Lille	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	RUS Binche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	City Pirates Antwerpen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
12	Sprimont	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Schoonbeek-Beverst	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	DT Borsbeke	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Zepperen-Brustem	1	1	0	0	+8	3
16	Sporting Hasselt	1	1	0	0	+6	3
17	Biesme	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	Blankenberge	1	1	0	0	+5	3
19	Heist	1	1	0	0	+5	3
20	De Kempen	2	1	0	1	+4	3
21	Eendracht Termien	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Londerzeel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Turnhout	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	Excelsior Virton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Wellen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Dessel Sport	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Sporting Bruxelles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Albert Quévy-Mons	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Crossing Schaerbeek	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Rumbeke	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Houtvenne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Westhoek	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Spouwen-Mopertingen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Merelbeke	1	1	0	0	+3	3
36	Wallonne Ciney	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	RFC Wetteren	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Berg en Dal	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	Meix-Devant-Virton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Le Roeulx	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Knokke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	La Calamine	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Raeren-Eynatten	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Oostkamp	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	Erpe-Mere United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Richelle United	2	1	0	1	+1	3
47	Drongen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
48	Diegem Sport	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Rotselaar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Diksmuide	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	K. Kontich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Lauwe	2	1	0	1	+1	3
53	Jette	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Mandel United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Club Roeselare	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Tempo Overijse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	Cappellen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	Acren-Lessines	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	Meux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
60	Thes Sport	1	1	0	0	+1	3
61	KBSK Retie	1	1	0	0	+1	3
62	Messancy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
63	Ganshoren	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	Grand-Leez	2	1	0	1	-1	3
65	Sparta Petegem	2	0	2	0	+0	2
66	Arquet	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Antoing	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Tilffois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Bioul	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	RAS Monceau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Stade Everois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Ostiches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Molenbaix	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Huldenberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Rupel Boom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Kosova Schaerbeek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Betekom	2	0	1	1	-2	1
78	Sparta Waasmunster	2	0	1	1	-7	1
79	Berlaar-Heikant	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Mormont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Verlaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Stockay-Warfusée	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Harre-Manhay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Waterloo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	HO Kalken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Tournai	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Luingnois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Verlaine II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	VW Hamme	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Union Namur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Stade Mouscronnois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Sparta Heestert	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Torpedo Hasselt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Olympia Wijgmaal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Aubel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Eendracht Aalter	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Libramont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Fenixx BeigHum	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Tienen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Oppagne-Wéris	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Evelette-Jallet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Avanti	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	KSK Beveren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Wanze / Bas-Oha II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	FC Eupen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	La Hulpe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Denderhoutem	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Haasdonk	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Sint-Denijs Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	Berlare	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	Jodoigne	1	0	0	1	-3	0
113	Witgoor Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	Bevel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Longlier	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Berchem Sport	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Galmaarden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	Ezaart Sport Mol	1	0	0	1	-4	0
119	Union Momalloise	1	0	0	1	-4	0
120	Noduwez	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Evelette-Jallet	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Oudenaarde	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Jodoigne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Gullegem	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Meix-Devant-Virton	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Arquet	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Zwevegem Sport	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Marke	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Elsautoise	2	1	1	0	+5	4
10	Tempo Overijse	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	Latem	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Achel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	FC Lebbeke	2	1	0	1	+6	3
14	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Heist	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Berchem Sport	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Léopold	2	1	0	1	+3	3
18	Acren-Lessines	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Ninove	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Schoonbeek-Beverst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Cappellen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Diksmuide	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Londerzeel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Rotselaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Hoogstraten	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Westhoek	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Kosova Schaerbeek	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Sint-Lenaarts	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	Etterbeek	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Wanze / Bas-Oha	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Haasdonk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	La Hulpe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	DT Borsbeke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	RFC Wetteren	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	City Pirates Antwerpen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Eendracht Termien	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Erpe-Mere United	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Saint-Vith	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Harelbeke	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	Elene-Grotenberge	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Rumbeke	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Sassport Boezinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	Gosselies Sports	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Zwarte Leeuw	2	1	0	1	-3	3
45	Hades	2	1	0	1	-4	3
46	RESC Houffaloise	2	1	0	1	-4	3
47	PAC Buzet	3	0	2	1	-1	2
48	Wezel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Onhaye	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Aische	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Meux II	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Ezaart Sport Mol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Tubize	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Esperanza Pelt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Habay-la-Neuve	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Roeselare Daisel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Stade Verviers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Fenixx BeigHum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Olsa Brakel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Torhout	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Entité Manageoise	2	0	1	1	-1	1
62	Marloie Sport	2	0	1	1	-4	1
63	KRC Gent	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	La Calamine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Wambeek-Ternat	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Zelzate	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Club Roeselare	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Zonhoven United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Racing Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	's Gravenwezel-Schilde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Hannut	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	La Louvière Centre	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Huy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Bocholt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Blankenberge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Dessel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Waremme	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Rochefort	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Wellen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Mandel United	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Loyers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Raeren-Eynatten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Zepperen-Brustem	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Aywaille	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	RUS Assenois	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Condruzien	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	K. Kontich	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Tongeren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Turnhout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Landen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Bioul	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Wilrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Ardooie	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Flénu	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Lille	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	Jette	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	RAS Monceau	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	KBSK Retie	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Turkse Rangers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Rochefort II	1	0	0	1	-4	0
102	Sporting Bruxelles	1	0	0	1	-4	0
103	Grobbendonk	1	0	0	1	-4	0
104	Le Roeulx	1	0	0	1	-4	0
105	Pepingen-Halle	1	0	0	1	-4	0
106	Biesme	1	0	0	1	-4	0
107	Herk	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Oostkamp	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	Herent	1	0	0	1	-5	0
110	Chevetogne	1	0	0	1	-5	0
111	Elewijt	1	0	0	1	-5	0
112	Eeklo Meetjesland	1	0	0	1	-5	0
113	Noordstar Noorderwijk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
114	Munkzwalm	1	0	0	1	-8	0
115	Wallonia Libin	1	0	0	1	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.