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Coppa Italia

Referee: A Arena

Milan

S S T T S

2–0

Full-time

Bari

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%

24 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 1

11 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Audace Cerignola	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Pescara	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
27	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Audace Cerignola	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
3	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
14	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.