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DFB-Pokal
Referee: S Storks
1–3
Full-time
Paderborn
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Viktoria Koln Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
3,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 0
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Magdeburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Bochum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Darmstadt 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Cottbus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Illertissen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Eintracht Norderstedt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 St Pauli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 VfB Lubeck 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Pirmasens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 BFC Dynamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Sportfreunde Lotte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
27 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 0 1 -4 0
28 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -5 0
29 Bahlinger SC 1 0 0 1 -5 0
30 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Viktoria Koln Paderborn
5′
A. Grimaldi 0–1
8′
A. Grimaldi 0–2
F. Bilbija
36′
F. Bilbija 0–3
Half-time 0–3
T. Kloss 🔁
↦ L. M. Wolf
46′
L. Munst 🔁
↦ F. Engelhardt
46′
Y. Tonye 🔁
↦ R. Velasco
46′
Yannick Aime Tonye 🟨
59′
1–3 D. Otto
J. Sticker
59′
61′
🔁 T. Scheller
↦ C. Brackelmann
61′
🔁 M. Baur
↦ N. Batzner
61′
🔁 M. Hansen
↦ S. Klaas
61′
🔁 S. Marino
↦ A. Grimaldi
L. Popp 🔁
↦ S. Handle
78′
79′
🟨 Marcel Hoffmeier
79′
🟨 Tjark Lasse Scheller
Jonah Sticker 🟨
82′
83′
🟨 Mattes Hansen
85′
🔁 S. Castaneda
↦ L. Engelns
B. Zank 🔁
↦ T. Eisenhuth
87′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

FC Viktoria Koln

3-4-2-1
1 Dudu G
2 L. Dietz D
15 C. Greger D
33 J. Sticker D
21 L. M. Wolf M
6 T. Eisenhuth M
8 F. Engelhardt M
7 S. Handle M
10 D. Otto F
11 R. Velasco F
9 L. Lobinger F
Bench (9)
27 A. Schulz
22 V. Boboy
17 M. Pledl
19 M. Sponsel
18 T. Kloss
5 L. Munst
30 Y. Tonye
29 L. Popp
23 B. Zank

Coach: Marian Wilhelm

Paderborn

3-4-2-1
1 M. Schubert G
33 M. Hoffmeier D
20 F. Gotze D
4 C. Brackelmann D
17 L. Curda M
6 L. Engelns M
26 S. Klaas M
23 R. Obermair M
7 F. Bilbija F
9 N. Batzner F
39 A. Grimaldi F
Bench (9)
41 D. Seimen
42 K. Krumme
25 T. Scheller
14 M. Baur
5 S. Castaneda
22 M. Hansen
28 L. Copado
18 M. Worner
30 S. Marino

Coach: Ralf Kettemann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Storks · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.