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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

Sparta Rotterdam

T S U T T

2–1

Full-time

Utrecht

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

2,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

7,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

4,0

Conceded

6,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-5,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,47 xG 1,39

45% Possession 55%

15 Shots 20

5 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

0 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 16. · Utrecht 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+8	+3.2	6
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.6	6
3	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
4	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.5	4
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.5	3
6	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
8	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
9	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.3	2
10	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
11	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
12	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.1	1
13	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
14	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
15	Telstar	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.9	0
16	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.5	0
17	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.9	0
18	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-7	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.5	3
2	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.4	3
3	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
7	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
8	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
9	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
10	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
11	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
12	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
13	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
14	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
2	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
3	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
4	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
5	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
6	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
7	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
8	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
9	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
10	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
11	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.1	0
12	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.5	0
13	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.5	0
14	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.