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2. Bundesliga

Referee: D Aytekin

St Pauli

U S T S T

2–2

Full-time

Paderborn

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

5,7

Scored

2,2

4,7

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+3,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

40%

80%

Points per game

1,4

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

80%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,4

4,8

Scored

1,8

3,6

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

20 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 2

4 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 11. · Paderborn 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	5	4	0	1	+12	12
2	Darmstadt	5	4	0	1	+5	12
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	Heidenheim	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	Kaiserslautern	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Hamburg	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Hansa Rostock	5	3	0	2	-1	9
8	Holstein Kiel	5	2	2	1	-1	8
9	Hannover	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Karlsruhe	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	St Pauli	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Nurnberg	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Regensburg	6	2	1	3	-6	7
14	Sandhausen	5	2	0	3	-1	6
15	Bielefeld	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Greuther Furth	5	0	3	2	-4	3
17	Magdeburg	5	1	0	4	-8	3
18	Braunschweig	6	0	1	5	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Darmstadt	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	St Pauli	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Hansa Rostock	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Sandhausen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Kaiserslautern	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Heidenheim	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Hannover	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Regensburg	3	1	1	1	-4	4
12	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Hamburg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Bielefeld	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Greuther Furth	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Braunschweig	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Magdeburg	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Heidenheim	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Darmstadt	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Kaiserslautern	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Karlsruhe	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Holstein Kiel	3	1	1	1	-4	4
9	Hannover	3	1	0	2	+1	3
10	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Regensburg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Magdeburg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	Bielefeld	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	St Pauli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Sandhausen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.