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Bundesliga

Referee: T Welz

Hoffenheim

T S T S S

1–0

Full-time

Augsburg

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Augsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

24 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 6. · Augsburg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Freiburg	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	M'gladbach	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Union Berlin	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Hoffenheim	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	FC Koln	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Werder Bremen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
11	RB Leipzig	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Stuttgart	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Schalke 04	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Wolfsburg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Ein Frankfurt	3	0	2	1	-5	2
16	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Leverkusen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Bochum	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Union Berlin	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Wolfsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Augsburg	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+12	6
2	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	FC Koln	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	RB Leipzig	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Wolfsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.