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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Aberdeen
U T S T S
5–0
Full-time
Livingston
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
20 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
2 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aberdeen 5. · Livingston 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Rangers 4 3 1 0 +7 10
3 Motherwell 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Hearts 4 2 1 1 +2 7
5 Aberdeen 4 2 0 2 +1 6
6 St Mirren 4 2 0 2 +0 6
7 Livingston 4 2 0 2 +0 6
8 Hibernian 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Ross County 4 1 0 3 -3 3
10 ST Johnstone 4 1 0 3 -5 3
11 Dundee United 4 0 1 3 -7 1
12 Kilmarnock 4 0 1 3 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Apr -22 Aberdeen – Livingston 1–2 5. Feb -22 Livingston – Aberdeen 2–1 1. Dec -21 Aberdeen – Livingston 2–0 8. Aug -21 Livingston – Aberdeen 1–2 1. May -21 Livingston – Aberdeen 1–2

Match report

Aberdeen Livingston
38′
🟨 Jason Holt
40′
🟥 Jack Fitzwater
1–0 B. Miovski ⚽
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 P. Cancar
↦ S. Kelly
Duk 🔁
↦ L. Clarkson
56′
2–0 R. McCrorie ⚽
58′
61′
🟨 Phillip Čančar
3–0 V. Besuijen ⚽
62′
4–0 B. Miovski ⚽
J. Hayes
63′
65′
🟨 Cristian Montano
67′
🔁 J. Penrice
↦ J. Holt
67′
🔁 J. Brandon
↦ A. Shinnie
67′
🔁 J. Longridge
↦ C. Montaño
67′
🔁 Esmael Gonçalves
↦ J. Nouble
S. Morris 🔁
↦ J. Hayes
72′
M. Kennedy 🔁
↦ V. Besuijen
73′
J. MacKenzie 🔁
↦ H. Coulson
79′
R. Duncan 🔁
↦ B. Miovski
79′
5–0 R. Duncan ⚽
A. Stewart
86′
88′
🟨 Jamie Brandon
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
24 K. Roos G
25 J. Richardson D
5 A. Stewart D
4 L. Scales D
22 H. Coulson D
16 Y. Ramadani M
2 R. McCrorie M
10 V. Besuijen M
20 L. Clarkson M
17 J. Hayes M
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
11 Duk
7 S. Morris
33 M. Kennedy
3 J. MacKenzie
23 R. Duncan
15 M. Watkins
21 D. Polvara
1 J. Lewis
28 J. Milne

Coach: B. Robson

Livingston

4-3-2-1
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
5 J. Fitzwater D
6 A. Obileye D
11 C. Montaño D
18 J. Holt M
24 S. Kelly M
33 S. Oméonga M
22 A. Shinnie M
8 S. Pittman M
19 J. Nouble F
Bench (9)
25 P. Cancar
29 J. Penrice
12 J. Brandon
3 J. Longridge
10 Esmael Gonçalves
32 J. Hamilton
14 J. Mullin
31 I. Konovalov
20 S. Bitsindou

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
🔒
U
3,54
🔒
B
4,73
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,13
🔒
U2,5
1,69
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.