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Süper Lig

Referee: Arda Kardesler

Erzurumspor

S T S U

1–2

Full-time

Galatasaray

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzurumspor Galatasaray

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Süper Lig · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

75%

40%

Both score Ø 58%

75%

40%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

4 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Erzurumspor 7. · Galatasaray 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Fenerbahce	5	3	2	0	+3	11
3	Karagumruk	5	2	2	1	+4	8
4	Antalyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Kasimpasa	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	Goztep	6	1	4	1	+3	7
7	Erzurumspor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Galatasaray	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Sivasspor	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Gaziantep	6	1	4	1	-1	7
11	Hatayspor	4	2	1	1	-3	7
12	Konyaspor	5	1	3	1	+2	6
13	Kayserispor	5	2	0	3	-4	6
14	Rizespor	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Trabzonspor	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	1	2	2	-4	5
17	Denizlispor	5	1	2	2	-4	5
18	Besiktas	4	1	1	2	-2	4
19	Genclerbirligi	4	1	1	2	-2	4
20	Buyuksehyr	5	1	1	3	-4	4
21	Ankaragücü	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karagumruk	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Antalyaspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Kasimpasa	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Alanyaspor	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Hatayspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Gaziantep	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Goztep	3	1	1	1	+3	4
8	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Galatasaray	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Yeni Malatyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Trabzonspor	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Kayserispor	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Denizlispor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Genclerbirligi	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Besiktas	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Erzurumspor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Sivasspor	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Buyuksehyr	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Ankaragücü	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Sivasspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Erzurumspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Goztep	3	0	3	0	+0	3
7	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Kayserispor	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Genclerbirligi	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Buyuksehyr	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Denizlispor	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Konyaspor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Gaziantep	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Karagumruk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Antalyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Kasimpasa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Rizespor	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	0	1	2	-5	1
21	Hatayspor	2	0	1	1	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.