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Serie B
Lecce
S U U U S
4–0
Full-time
Parma
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
45%
36%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
55%
64%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

19 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 0
4 Corners 7
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lecce 5. · Parma 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brescia 12 7 3 2 +9 24
2 Pisa 11 6 4 1 +10 22
3 Reggina 12 6 4 2 +4 22
4 Frosinone 12 5 6 1 +8 21
5 Lecce 11 5 5 1 +7 20
6 Benevento 12 5 4 3 +6 19
7 Como 12 5 4 3 +4 19
8 Cremonese 12 5 4 3 +4 19
9 Ascoli 12 5 3 4 +1 18
10 Monza 11 4 5 2 +1 17
11 Perugia 12 4 5 3 +0 17
12 Parma 11 4 4 3 +3 16
13 Ternana 12 5 1 6 +1 16
14 Cittadella 11 5 1 5 -2 16
15 Spal 12 3 5 4 +3 14
16 Cosenza 12 4 2 6 -6 14
17 Alessandria 12 2 2 8 -11 8
18 Crotone 11 1 4 6 -9 7
19 Vicenza 12 1 1 10 -14 4
20 Pordenone 12 0 3 9 -19 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,05
U
3,39
B
3,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.