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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T U T S U

2–0

Full-time

Heidenheim

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Heidenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 25%

42%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

42%

58%

Both score Ø 54%

58%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

12 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 5

3 Corners 7

8 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 17. · Heidenheim 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	8	2	2	+17	26
2	Regensburg	13	7	4	2	+14	25
3	Paderborn	13	7	3	3	+12	24
4	Schalke 04	12	7	1	4	+8	22
5	Nurnberg	13	5	6	2	+6	21
6	Darmstadt	12	6	2	4	+13	20
7	Hamburg	13	4	8	1	+5	20
8	Werder Bremen	13	5	4	4	+0	19
9	Heidenheim	12	5	3	4	-4	18
10	Karlsruhe	13	4	5	4	+0	17
11	Hansa Rostock	13	5	2	6	-6	17
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	4	4	5	-1	16
13	Holstein Kiel	13	3	5	5	-9	14
14	Dresden	13	4	1	8	-4	13
15	Hannover	13	3	4	6	-8	13
16	Sandhausen	12	3	3	6	-11	12
17	Erzgebirge Aue	12	1	5	6	-10	8
18	Ingolstadt	13	1	2	10	-22	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	6	6	0	0	+16	18
2	Darmstadt	6	5	0	1	+13	15
3	Regensburg	7	4	2	1	+8	14
4	Nurnberg	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Heidenheim	7	3	3	1	+1	12
6	Schalke 04	6	3	1	2	+5	10
7	Dresden	6	3	0	3	+3	9
8	Karlsruhe	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Werder Bremen	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Hamburg	6	1	5	0	+1	8
11	Paderborn	7	2	2	3	+0	8
12	Hannover	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Hansa Rostock	6	2	1	3	-4	7
14	Holstein Kiel	7	2	1	4	-7	7
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	1	3	2	+0	6
16	Erzgebirge Aue	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Ingolstadt	6	0	2	4	-8	2
18	Sandhausen	6	0	2	4	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	6	5	1	0	+12	16
2	Hamburg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
3	Schalke 04	6	4	0	2	+3	12
4	Regensburg	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Werder Bremen	7	3	2	2	-1	11
6	Sandhausen	6	3	1	2	+0	10
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	Hansa Rostock	7	3	1	3	-2	10
9	St Pauli	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Karlsruhe	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Nurnberg	6	1	4	1	-1	7
12	Holstein Kiel	6	1	4	1	-2	7
13	Hannover	7	1	3	3	-5	6
14	Heidenheim	5	2	0	3	-5	6
15	Darmstadt	6	1	2	3	+0	5
16	Dresden	7	1	1	5	-7	4
17	Erzgebirge Aue	6	0	3	3	-5	3
18	Ingolstadt	7	1	0	6	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.