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La Liga
Referee: Jesús Gil
Villarreal
S T T U T
1–0
Full-time
Getafe
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 13%
18%
8%
Points per game
1,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
45%
42%
Both score Ø 44%
45%
42%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%
10 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
6 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 14. · Getafe 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 12 8 3 1 +15 27
2 Sociedad 12 7 4 1 +7 25
3 Sevilla 11 7 3 1 +12 24
4 Ath Madrid 11 6 4 1 +8 22
5 Betis 12 6 3 3 +4 21
6 Vallecano 13 6 2 5 +5 20
7 Osasuna 12 5 4 3 -1 19
8 Ath Bilbao 12 4 6 2 +3 18
9 Barcelona 12 4 5 3 +4 17
10 Espanol 13 4 5 4 +1 17
11 Valencia 12 4 4 4 +1 16
12 Mallorca 12 3 5 4 -6 14
13 Alaves 12 4 1 7 -7 13
14 Villarreal 11 2 6 3 +1 12
15 Celta 13 3 3 7 -4 12
16 Cadiz 13 2 6 5 -7 12
17 Granada 12 2 5 5 -5 11
18 Elche 12 2 4 6 -6 10
19 Getafe 12 1 3 8 -12 6
20 Levante 13 0 6 7 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Getafe
-5′
🟨 Jaime Mata
1–0 Manu Trigueros
Paco Alcácer
10′
Yeremi Pino 🔁
↦ A. Groeneveld
12′
Paco Alcácer ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
43′
Half-time 1–0
B. Dia 🔁
↦ Yeremi Pino
46′
52′
🟨 Mauro Arambarri
60′
🔁 Juan Iglesias
↦ Darío Poveda
60′
🔁 Mata
↦ A. Nyom
Raúl Albiol 🟨
70′
Moi Gómez 🔁
↦ Manu Trigueros
71′
S. Chukwueze 🔁
↦ Paco Alcácer
71′
82′
🔁 Vitolo
↦ M. Olivera
82′
🔁 E. Akurugu
↦ E. Ünal
Alberto Moreno 🔁
↦ F. Coquelin
89′
93′
🔁 E. Cabaco
↦ S. Mitrović
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-2-2-2
13 G. Rulli G
3 Albiol D
25 S. Aurier D
12 P. Estupiñán D
4 Pau Torres D
6 E. Capoue M
5 Dani Parejo M
19 F. Coquelin M
14 Manu Trigueros M
9 Paco Alcácer F
15 A. Groeneveld F
Bench (12)
21 Yeremi Pino
16 B. Dia
23 Moi Gómez
11 S. Chukwueze
18 Alberto Moreno
10 Iborra
1 Asenjo
22 A. Mandi
24 Pedraza
2 Mario Gaspar
17 Dani Raba
20 Rubén Peña

Coach: Unai Emery

Getafe

5-3-2
13 David Soria G
4 A. Nyom D
23 S. Mitrović D
2 D. Dakonam D
17 M. Olivera D
15 Jorge Cuenca D
20 N. Maksimović M
18 M. Arambarri M
11 Carles Aleñá M
10 E. Ünal F
19 Darío Poveda F
Bench (11)
21 Juan Iglesias
7 Mata
8 Vitolo
28 E. Akurugu
3 E. Cabaco
1 Rubén Yáñez
27 Diego Conde
24 Timor
14 J. Silva
5 Florentino Luís
6 Chema Rodríguez

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,53
U
4,09
B
6,88
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.