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Serie B
Referee: M Monaldi
Catanzaro
U S U U U
2–2
Full-time
Mantova
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Mantova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,2
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
15%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
38%
23%
Both score Ø 42%
46%
38%
Average goals
1,8
2,1
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Catanzaro 12. · Mantova 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 13 8 4 1 +13 28
2 Pisa 13 8 4 1 +11 28
3 Spezia 13 7 6 0 +11 27
4 Cesena 13 6 3 4 +4 21
5 Cosenza 14 4 7 3 +0 19
6 Cremonese 13 5 3 5 +1 18
7 Bari 13 3 8 2 +4 17
8 Palermo 13 4 5 4 +2 17
9 Brescia 13 5 2 6 -2 17
10 Juve Stabia 13 4 5 4 -3 17
11 Mantova 13 4 4 5 -3 16
12 Catanzaro 13 2 9 2 +2 15
13 Modena 14 3 6 5 -1 15
14 Sampdoria 13 4 3 6 -2 15
15 Reggiana 13 3 5 5 -2 14
16 Carrarese 13 3 4 6 -4 13
17 Salernitana 13 3 4 6 -5 13
18 Sudtirol 13 4 1 8 -6 13
19 Cittadella 13 3 4 6 -10 13
20 Frosinone 13 1 7 5 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Catanzaro Mantova
Stefano Scognamillo 🟨
6′
7′
D. Bragantini 0–1
23′
🟨 Matteo Solini
1–1 P. Iemmello
D. Seck
26′
31′
🔁 S. Cella
↦ A. Redolfi
37′
🟨 Antonio Fiori
Ilias Koutsoupias 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Simone Trimboli
F. Pittarello 🔁
↦ T. Biasci
59′
M. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ I. Koutsoupias
59′
60′
🟥 Stefano Cella
62′
🔁 S. De Maio
↦ L. Mancuso
63′
🟨 Sebastien De Maio
65′
D. Bragantini 1–2
A. Fiori
M. D'Alessandro 🔁
↦ A. Ceresoli
69′
75′
🔁 T. Maggioni
↦ N. Radaelli
76′
🔁 G. Fedel
↦ D. Bragantini
76′
🔁 D. Wieser
↦ F. Artioli
J. Petriccione 🔁
↦ S. Pontisso
78′
N. Buso 🔁
↦ M. Pompetti
78′
2–2 N. Buso
79′
Nicolò Brighenti 🟨
87′
89′
🟨 Davis Mensah
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Catanzaro

3-5-2
22 M. Pigliacelli G
23 N. Brighenti D
14 S. Scognamillo D
6 F. Bonini D
29 D. Seck M
8 I. Koutsoupias M
21 M. Pompetti M
20 S. Pontisso M
27 A. Ceresoli M
28 T. Biasci F
9 P. Iemmello F
Bench (12)
90 F. Pittarello
80 M. Coulibaly
70 M. D'Alessandro
10 J. Petriccione
45 N. Buso
24 R. Pagano
7 M. Compagnon
84 T. Cassandro
1 A. Dini
77 G. Volpe
17 E. Brignola
3 R. Turicchia

Coach: F. Caserta

Mantova

4-2-3-1
1 M. Festa G
17 N. Radaelli D
13 F. Brignani D
5 A. Redolfi D
4 M. Solini D
24 F. Artioli M
21 S. Trimboli M
30 D. Bragantini M
19 L. Mancuso M
11 A. Fiori M
7 D. Mensah F
Bench (12)
29 S. Cella
87 S. De Maio
27 T. Maggioni
20 G. Fedel
10 D. Wieser
16 F. Botti
9 A. Debenedetti
70 M. Aramu
6 C. Bani
14 F. Galuppini
12 L. Sonzogni
23 E. Panizzi

Coach: D. Possanzini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,87
U ✓
3,41
B
4,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,80
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Monaldi · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.