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Bundesliga
Referee: J Semler
Salzburg
T U U S T
1–2
Full-time
LASK
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 11/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
45%
38%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
45%
69%
Both score Ø 57%
36%
77%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
22 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 4. · LASK 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 13 9 2 2 +14 29
2 SK Rapid 13 7 5 1 +6 26
3 Austria Vienna 13 7 3 3 +6 24
4 Salzburg 11 5 3 3 +1 18
5 Wolfsberger AC 13 5 2 6 +4 17
6 LASK 13 5 2 6 +0 17
7 BW Linz 13 5 2 6 -2 17
8 Hartberg 12 4 4 4 +0 16
9 A. Klagenfurt 12 4 3 5 -7 15
10 Tirol 13 3 3 7 -7 12
11 Altach 13 2 3 8 -6 9
12 Grazer AK 13 1 6 6 -9 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg LASK
37′
🔁 F. Flecker
↦ B. Jovičić
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Talovierov
↦ S. Horvath
55′
🔁 I. Mustapha
↦ R. Žulj
55′
🔁 M. Ljubičić
↦ V. Berisha
1–0 M. Yeo
A. Dedić
62′
73′
K. Konaté 2–0
own goal
Stefan Bajčetić 🔁
↦ M. Bidstrup
81′
P. Ratkov 🔁
↦ K. Konaté
81′
B. Clark 🔁
↦ D. Nene
81′
88′
M. Entrup 2–1
M. Ljubičić
D. Guindo 🔁
↦ A. Terzić
89′
N. Capaldo 🔁
↦ L. Gourna-Douath
89′
93′
🔁 M. Sulzner
↦ M. Entrup
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-3-1
24 A. Schlager G
70 A. Dedić D
91 K. Piątkowski D
6 S. Baidoo D
3 A. Terzić D
18 M. Bidstrup M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
45 D. Nene M
30 O. Gloukh M
49 M. Yeo M
19 K. Konaté F
Bench (7)
8 Stefan Bajčetić
21 P. Ratkov
10 B. Clark
29 D. Guindo
7 N. Capaldo
15 M. Diambou
92 S. Hamzić

Coach: P. Lijnders

LASK

4-2-3-1
28 J. Siebenhandl G
22 F. Stojković D
5 P. Ziereis D
26 H. Smolčić D
2 G. Bello D
6 M. Bogarde M
18 B. Jovičić M
30 S. Horvath M
10 R. Žulj M
14 V. Berisha M
11 M. Entrup F
Bench (7)
29 F. Flecker
4 M. Talovierov
23 I. Mustapha
9 M. Ljubičić
35 M. Sulzner
20 Tomás Tavares
36 L. Jungwirth

Coach: M. Schopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Semler · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.