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Serie B
Referee: M Guida
Carrarese
U S U U T
1–0
Full-time
Pisa
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 43%
23%
62%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
31%
62%
Both score Ø 47%
31%
62%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Carrarese 16. · Pisa 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 13 8 4 1 +13 28
2 Pisa 13 8 4 1 +11 28
3 Spezia 13 7 6 0 +11 27
4 Cesena 13 6 3 4 +4 21
5 Cosenza 14 4 7 3 +0 19
6 Cremonese 13 5 3 5 +1 18
7 Bari 13 3 8 2 +4 17
8 Palermo 13 4 5 4 +2 17
9 Brescia 13 5 2 6 -2 17
10 Juve Stabia 13 4 5 4 -3 17
11 Mantova 13 4 4 5 -3 16
12 Catanzaro 13 2 9 2 +2 15
13 Modena 14 3 6 5 -1 15
14 Sampdoria 13 4 3 6 -2 15
15 Reggiana 13 3 5 5 -2 14
16 Carrarese 13 3 4 6 -4 13
17 Salernitana 13 3 4 6 -5 13
18 Sudtirol 13 4 1 8 -6 13
19 Cittadella 13 3 4 6 -10 13
20 Frosinone 13 1 7 5 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Carrarese Pisa
26′
🟥 Idrissa Touré
31′
🔁 O. Abildgaard
↦ A. Arena
Emanuele Zuelli 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
S. Giovane 🔁
↦ E. Zuelli
46′
Samuel Giovane 🟨
55′
D. Bouah 🔁
↦ F. Oliana
62′
L. Cerri 🔁
↦ S. Shpendi
62′
63′
🔁 Ž. Jevšenak
↦ A. Lind
63′
🔁 J. Mlakar
↦ E. Vignato
Devid Eugene Bouah 🟨
66′
M. Finotto 🔁
↦ A. Capello
72′
N. Belloni 🔁
↦ S. Zanon
82′
84′
🔁 A. Calabresi
↦ G. Piccinini
84′
🔁 P. Beruatto
↦ S. Angori
1–0 D. Bouah
S. Giovane
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Carrarese

3-4-2-1
1 M. Bleve G
6 F. Oliana D
4 J. Illanes D
3 M. Imperiale D
72 S. Zanon M
17 E. Zuelli M
18 N. Schiavi M
11 M. Cicconi M
19 S. Shpendi F
9 L. Cherubini F
28 A. Capello F
Bench (12)
20 S. Giovane
13 D. Bouah
90 L. Cerri
32 M. Finotto
77 N. Belloni
10 G. Panico
82 L. Capezzi
8 R. Palmieri
29 T. Maressa
34 G. Guarino
24 N. Chiorra
39 M. Motolese

Coach: A. Calabro

Pisa

3-4-2-1
47 A. Šemper G
17 A. Rus D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
15 I. Touré M
36 G. Piccinini M
8 M. Højholt M
3 S. Angori M
30 A. Arena F
10 E. Vignato F
45 A. Lind F
Bench (12)
28 O. Abildgaard
74 Ž. Jevšenak
7 J. Mlakar
33 A. Calabresi
20 P. Beruatto
1 Nícolas
27 A. Raychev
25 T. Ferrari
70 M. Leoncini
94 G. Bonfanti
9 N. Bonfanti
22 L. Loria

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,48
U
3,07
B
2,20
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,40
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.