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Ligue 1
Referee: A Petit
Bordeaux
T T T U T
1–2
Full-time
Metz
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 37%
35%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
54%
27%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 10
1 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 11. · Metz 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 26 17 7 2 +30 58
2 Lyon 26 16 7 3 +30 55
3 Paris SG 26 17 3 6 +40 54
4 Monaco 26 16 4 6 +17 52
5 Lens 26 11 7 8 +2 40
6 Metz 26 10 8 8 +6 38
7 Marseille 25 10 8 7 +4 38
8 Rennes 26 10 8 8 +3 38
9 Montpellier 26 11 5 10 -3 38
10 Angers 26 10 5 11 -10 35
11 Bordeaux 26 9 6 11 -4 33
12 Nice 27 9 5 13 -6 32
13 Brest 26 9 4 13 -8 31
14 Reims 26 7 9 10 -2 30
15 St Etienne 26 7 9 10 -11 30
16 Strasbourg 26 8 5 13 -6 29
17 Nimes 26 7 3 16 -26 24
18 Nantes 26 4 11 11 -15 23
19 Lorient 26 6 5 15 -19 23
20 Dijon 26 2 9 15 -22 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Metz
1–0 S. Kalu
Y. Sabaly
14′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Fabien Centonze
Laurent Koscielny 🟨
54′
57′
🟨 Farid Boulaya
66′
🔁 Vágner
↦ A. Leya
66′
🔁 V. Pajot
↦ V. Angban
72′
T. Delaine 1–1
J. Boye
H. Ben Arfa 🔁
↦ S. Kalu
76′
I. Sissokho 🔁
↦ M. Zerkane
76′
83′
🔁 T. Ambrose
↦ M. Gueye
S. Mara 🔁
↦ R. Oudin
84′
91′
Vágner 1–2
T. Ambrose
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bordeaux

3-5-2
1 B. Costil G
24 P. Baysse D
6 L. Koscielny D
4 Mexer D
20 Y. Sabaly M
15 J. Seri M
17 M. Zerkane M
27 T. Lacoux M
18 Hwang Ui-jo F
28 R. Oudin M
10 S. Kalu F
Bench (9)
8 H. Ben Arfa
33 I. Sissokho
36 S. Mara
29 M. Poundjé
7 J. Briand
25 E. Kwateng
16 G. Poussin
12 N. de Préville
31 A. Traore

Coach: J. Gasset

Metz

3-4-1-2
16 A. Oukidja G
21 J. Boye D
17 T. Delaine M
2 D. Bronn D
18 F. Centonze M
23 B. Kouyaté D
5 V. Angban M
10 F. Boulaya F
15 P. Sarr M
24 A. Leya F
13 M. Gueye F
Bench (9)
27 Vágner
14 V. Pajot
9 T. Ambrose
30 M. Caillard
26 P. Yade
22 Y. Maziz
12 W. Tchimbembé
3 M. Udol
6 M. Fofana

Coach: F. Antonetti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,49
U
3,03
B ✓
3,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,42
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.