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Süper Lig
Referee: Mete Kalkavan
Galatasaray
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Erzurumspor
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Erzurumspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 46%
68%
24%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
56%
52%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

66% Possession 34%
10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 1. · Erzurumspor 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 25 17 3 5 +31 54
2 Besiktas 25 17 3 5 +30 54
3 Fenerbahce 25 16 3 6 +20 51
4 Trabzonspor 25 14 6 5 +8 48
5 Hatayspor 26 13 6 7 +15 45
6 Alanyaspor 26 12 6 8 +14 42
7 Gaziantep 26 10 10 6 +8 40
8 Karagumruk 26 11 7 8 +7 40
9 Antalyaspor 26 7 13 6 -5 34
10 Goztep 25 8 8 9 +4 32
11 Sivasspor 25 7 11 7 -1 32
12 Konyaspor 25 8 7 10 +2 31
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 26 7 10 9 -2 31
14 Kasimpasa 25 8 5 12 -11 29
15 Rizespor 26 6 10 10 -12 28
16 Kayserispor 25 6 7 12 -13 25
17 Erzurumspor 25 6 7 12 -15 25
18 Buyuksehyr 26 6 7 13 -16 25
19 Denizlispor 26 5 6 15 -23 21
20 Genclerbirligi 25 5 6 14 -25 21
21 Ankaragücü 25 5 5 15 -16 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Erzurumspor
Oghenekaro Etebo 🟨
23′
1–0 Mostafa Mohamed
38′
2–0 Mostafa Mohamed
C. Luyindama
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 E. Rashani
↦ R. Çağıran
47′
🟨 Adolphe Teikeu
63′
🟨 Aatif Chahechouhe
Emre Kılınç ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
66′
67′
🔁 M. El Kabir
↦ Ricardo Gomes
Y. Belhanda 🔁
↦ E. Kılınç
72′
T. Antalyalı 🔁
↦ O. Etebo
73′
76′
🔁 E. Başsan
↦ C. Alkılıç
76′
🔁 M. Uçar
↦ O. Çelik
Mostafa Mohamed 🟨
79′
Taylan Antalyalı 🟨
81′
K. Aktürkoğlu 🔁
↦ H. Onyekuru
83′
R. Babel 🔁
↦ A. Turan
83′
R. Falcao 🔁
↦ Mostafa Mohamed
86′
90′
🟨 Mostapha El Kabir
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-1-4-1
1 F. Muslera G
19 Ö. Bayram D
22 D. Yedlin D
45 Marcão Teixeira D
27 C. Luyindama D
66 A. Turan M
54 E. Kılınç M
13 O. Etebo M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
7 H. Onyekuru M
31 Mostafa Mohamed F
Bench (10)
10 Y. Belhanda
4 T. Antalyalı
18 K. Aktürkoğlu
8 R. Babel
9 R. Falcao
34 O. Kocuk
15 R. Donk
2 Ş. Özbayraklı
89 S. Feghouli
14 M. Linnes

Coach: F. Terim

Erzurumspor

4-3-3
1 G. Bakırbaş G
27 M. da Costa D
30 A. Teikeu D
99 C. Alkılıç F
2 B. Butko D
22 L. Schwechlen D
8 J. Omolo M
92 A. Chahechouhe F
16 R. Çağıran M
88 O. Çelik M
91 Ricardo Gomes F
Bench (10)
15 E. Rashani
14 M. El Kabir
17 E. Başsan
77 M. Uçar
21 Z. Bergdich
5 H. Hatipoğlu
70 B. Darri
23 G. Kardeş
11 A. Novikovas
33 K. Erdoğan

Coach: M. Bakkal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,36
U
4,96
B
7,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,51
U2,5 ✓
2,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mete Kalkavan · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.