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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Kilmarnock
T U T S U
3–0
Full-time
Dundee United
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 27%
24%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
38%
41%
Both score Ø 43%
41%
44%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 11. · Dundee United 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 35 29 6 0 +69 93
2 Celtic 34 21 9 4 +48 72
3 Hibernian 35 17 8 10 +13 59
4 Aberdeen 34 14 10 10 +2 52
5 Livingston 35 12 8 15 -8 44
6 Dundee United 34 10 12 12 -13 42
7 ST Johnstone 35 10 11 14 -7 41
8 Motherwell 35 11 8 16 -17 41
9 St Mirren 34 10 10 14 -9 40
10 Ross County 34 8 6 20 -33 30
11 Kilmarnock 34 8 5 21 -14 29
12 Hamilton 35 6 9 20 -31 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Feb -21 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 1–1 23. Dec -20 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 2–0 29. Aug -20 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 4–0

Match report

Kilmarnock Dundee United
Kyle Lafferty 🟨
16′
1–0 K. Lafferty ⚽
R. Millen
32′
2–0 K. Lafferty ⚽
R. Millen
35′
3–0 K. Lafferty ⚽
43′
Half-time 3–0
57′
🟨 Florent Hoti
60′
🔁 A. Meekison
↦ F. Hoti
A. Tshibola 🔁
↦ C. Burke
75′
N. Kabamba 🔁
↦ K. Lafferty
76′
77′
🟨 Adrian Spörle
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-1-1
16 C. Doyle G
5 K. Broadfoot D
22 R. Millen D
3 B. Haunstrup D
14 Z. Rossi D
29 C. Burke M
6 A. Power M
8 G. Dicker M
7 R. McKenzie F
19 M. Pinnock M
28 K. Lafferty F
Bench (9)
27 A. Tshibola
11 N. Kabamba
18 C. Waters
23 D. Rogers
24 Z. Medley
9 G. Oakley
10 G. Kiltie
21 Y. Mulumbu
2 A. McGowan

Coach: T. Wright

Dundee United

4-3-3
19 D. Mehmet G
5 M. Connolly D
2 L. Smith D
3 A. Spörle F
17 J. Robson D
66 J. Fuchs M
20 L. Bolton F
23 I. Harkes M
14 F. Hoti M
43 K. Smith D
27 L. Appéré F
Bench (9)
32 A. Meekison
10 N. Clark
9 M. McNulty
12 R. Edwards
52 N. Alexander
28 J. Davidson
6 M. Reynolds
24 L. Shankland
18 C. Butcher

Coach: M. Mellon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,12
🔒
U
3,39
🔒
B
3,40
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,10
🔒
U2,5
1,72
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.