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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Dundee United
U S T T T
0–3
Full-time
St Mirren
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
13 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 10. · St Mirren 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Celtic 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 Hearts 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Motherwell 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Livingston 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Hibernian 4 1 2 1 +0 5
7 Aberdeen 3 1 0 2 +0 3
8 St Mirren 3 1 0 2 -3 3
9 ST Johnstone 3 1 0 2 -4 3
10 Dundee United 3 0 1 2 -4 1
11 Kilmarnock 3 0 1 2 -7 1
12 Ross County 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Mar -22 St Mirren – Dundee United 1–2 18. Jan -22 Dundee United – St Mirren 1–2 11. Sep -21 St Mirren – Dundee United 0–0 16. May -21 St Mirren – Dundee United 0–0 27. Jan -21 Dundee United – St Mirren 1–5

Match report

Dundee United St Mirren
Aziz Behich 🟨
8′
35′
🟨 Keanu Baccus
40′
⚽ C. Main 0–1
Half-time 0–1
M. Anim Cudjoe 🔁
↦ J. McGrath
46′
51′
⚽ C. Main 0–2
J. Ayunga
N. Clark 🔁
↦ T. Watt
61′
I. Niskanen 🔁
↦ A. Behich
61′
Dylan Levitt 🟨
66′
72′
🔁 G. Kiltie
↦ K. Baccus
77′
🔁 E. Brophy
↦ J. Ayunga
Mathew Anim Cudjoe 🟨
79′
86′
🔁 A. Greive
↦ C. Main
90′
🟨 Mark O'Hara
91′
⚽ A. Greive 0–3
E. Brophy
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-3-3
13 C. Eriksson G
2 L. Smith D
12 R. Edwards D
4 C. Mulgrew D
16 A. Behich D
23 I. Harkes M
19 D. Levitt M
18 J. McGrath M
15 G. Middleton F
9 S. Fletcher F
32 T. Watt F
Bench (9)
28 M. Anim Cudjoe
10 N. Clark
7 I. Niskanen
1 M. Birighitti
17 A. Meekison
22 K. Freeman
6 R. Graham
3 S. McMann
14 C. Sibbald

Coach: J. Ross

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 T. Carson G
22 M. Fraser D
31 D. Gallagher D
18 C. Dunne D
23 R. Strain M
17 K. Baccus M
6 M. O'Hara M
16 E. Erhahon M
2 R. Tait M
10 C. Main F
7 J. Ayunga F
Bench (9)
11 G. Kiltie
9 E. Brophy
21 A. Greive
15 D. Reid
27 P. Urminský
25 K. Offord
4 J. Shaughnessy
12 J. Henderson
8 R. Flynn

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
🔒
U
3,07
🔒
B ✓
3,08
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,36
🔒
U2,5
1,57
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.