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Premiership

Referee: G Grainger

Kilmarnock

T U U S U

2–0

Full-time

Aberdeen

U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Aberdeen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Premiership · 26/25 matches

Win Ø 30%

35%

24%

Points per game

1,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

42%

52%

Both score Ø 53%

54%

52%

Average goals

2,2

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

20 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 4. · Aberdeen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	26	21	1	4	+43	64
2	Celtic	26	19	5	2	+40	62
3	Hearts	26	16	3	7	+13	51
4	Kilmarnock	26	9	10	7	+2	37
5	St Mirren	26	10	5	11	-1	35
6	Dundee	25	8	8	9	-4	32
7	Hibernian	25	6	9	10	-10	27
8	Aberdeen	25	6	9	10	-10	27
9	Motherwell	26	5	11	10	-6	26
10	ST Johnstone	26	5	9	12	-18	24
11	Ross County	26	5	7	14	-22	22
12	Livingston	27	3	7	17	-27	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	13	11	0	2	+21	33
2	Celtic	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Kilmarnock	13	7	4	2	+7	25
4	Hearts	13	7	3	3	+6	24
5	St Mirren	13	6	3	4	+3	21
6	Dundee	12	5	3	4	-1	18
7	ST Johnstone	14	4	5	5	-6	17
8	Motherwell	13	4	4	5	+2	16
9	Aberdeen	13	3	6	4	-2	15
10	Ross County	12	4	2	6	-4	14
11	Hibernian	13	3	4	6	-5	13
12	Livingston	13	2	5	6	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Rangers	13	10	1	2	+22	31
3	Hearts	13	9	0	4	+7	27
4	Dundee	13	3	5	5	-3	14
5	St Mirren	13	4	2	7	-4	14
6	Hibernian	12	3	5	4	-5	14
7	Kilmarnock	13	2	6	5	-5	12
8	Aberdeen	12	3	3	6	-8	12
9	Motherwell	13	1	7	5	-8	10
10	Ross County	14	1	5	8	-18	8
11	ST Johnstone	12	1	4	7	-12	7
12	Livingston	14	1	2	11	-18	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.