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Bundesliga
Referee: A Harkam
Ried
U T T T S
1–0
Full-time
SK Rapid
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 29%
18%
40%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
45%
60%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

28% Possession 72%
6 Shots 25
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 14
2 Offside 4
5 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ried 11. · SK Rapid 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 11 8 2 1 +19 26
2 Sturm Graz 11 7 3 1 +13 24
3 LASK 11 5 4 2 +5 19
4 Austria Vienna 11 5 3 3 +2 18
5 A. Klagenfurt 11 5 2 4 +0 17
6 SK Rapid 10 4 2 4 +3 14
7 Wolfsberger AC 11 4 2 5 +0 14
8 A. Lustenau 11 3 3 5 -7 12
9 Tirol 11 3 2 6 -7 11
10 Hartberg 10 3 1 6 -6 10
11 Ried 11 2 2 7 -10 8
12 Altach 11 2 2 7 -12 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ried SK Rapid
41′
🟨 Roman Kerschbaum
Half-time 0–0
Stefan Nutz ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
48′
1–0 C. Monschein
50′
53′
🟨 Ante Bajić
L. Kronberger 🔁
↦ C. Monschein
67′
72′
🟨 Marco Grüll
72′
🔁 G. Burgstaller
↦ B. Zimmermann
M. Gragger 🔁
↦ K. Michael
75′
80′
🔁 D. Savić
↦ M. Grüll
84′
🟨 Maximilian Hofmann
87′
ℹ️ Leopold Querfeld
VAR: Card upgrade
88′
🟥 Leopold Querfeld
S. Chabbi 🔁
↦ S. Nutz
89′
91′
🟨 Thorsten Schick
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ried

3-4-2-1
1 S. Şahin-Radlinger G
66 D. Ungar D
19 J. Turi D
24 T. Plavotić D
10 J. Wießmeier M
12 K. Michael M
8 M. Martin M
17 P. Pomer M
22 S. Nutz F
21 L. Mikić F
7 C. Monschein F
Bench (7)
25 L. Kronberger
15 M. Gragger
9 S. Chabbi
6 M. Lackner
69 O. Kragl
11 D. Cosgun
33 J. Wendlinger

Coach: C. Heinle

SK Rapid

4-4-2
45 N. Hedl G
13 T. Schick D
20 M. Hofmann D
43 L. Querfeld D
26 M. Moormann D
29 A. Bajić M
24 P. Greil M
5 R. Kerschbaum M
27 M. Grüll M
41 B. Zimmermann F
38 F. Druijf F
Bench (7)
9 G. Burgstaller
77 D. Savić
19 M. Sollbauer
25 P. Gartler
23 J. Auer
14 A. Pejić
22 M. Koscelník

Coach: F. Feldhofer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Harkam · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.