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Bundesliga
Referee: S Gishamer
2–2
Full-time
BW Linz
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grazer AK BW Linz
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grazer AK 10. · BW Linz 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 SK Rapid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Tirol 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Wolfsberger AC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
5 Austria Vienna 2 1 0 1 +1 3
6 Sturm Graz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 LASK 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Altach 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 BW Linz 2 1 0 1 -3 3
10 Grazer AK 2 0 1 1 -1 1
11 A. Klagenfurt 2 0 1 1 -3 1
12 Hartberg 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grazer AK BW Linz
10′
⚽ Ronivaldo 0–1
Anderson
Tio Cipot 🟨
32′
40′
⚽ K. Dobras 0–2
Half-time 0–2
J. Italiano 🔁
↦ B. Rosenberger
46′
C. Lichtenberger 🔁
↦ M. Gantschnig
46′
Christian Lichtenberger 🟨
53′
1–2 T. Cipot ⚽
D. Maderner
60′
R. Vučić 🔁
↦ D. Maderner
61′
64′
🔁 A. Schmidt
↦ Ronivaldo
64′
🔁 A. Pašić
↦ K. Dobras
64′
🔁 P. Mensah
↦ C. Noß
72′
🟨 Paul Mensah
A. Zaizen 🔁
↦ D. Frieser
72′
2–2 P. Filipović ⚽
M. Şatin
73′
74′
🔁 A. Briedl
↦ S. Seidl
M. Perchtold 🔁
↦ T. Cipot
81′
Atsushi Zaizen 🟨
87′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Grazer AK

3-4-3
1 J. Meierhofer G
30 M. Jovičić D
5 P. Filipović D
19 M. Gantschnig D
21 M. Lang M
24 D. Dressel M
7 M. Şatin M
27 B. Rosenberger M
28 D. Frieser F
9 D. Maderner F
11 T. Cipot F
Bench (7)
14 J. Italiano
10 C. Lichtenberger
12 R. Vučić
18 A. Zaizen
13 M. Perchtold
15 L. Graf
33 J. Kirchmayr

Coach: G. Messner

BW Linz

4-1-4-1
12 A. Lukse G
28 Anderson D
15 M. Maranda D
16 M. Moormann D
60 S. Pirkl D
6 Lukinha M
27 T. Goiginger M
20 S. Seidl M
30 K. Dobras M
7 C. Noß M
9 Ronivaldo F
Bench (7)
13 A. Schmidt
17 A. Pašić
10 P. Mensah
19 A. Briedl
26 L. Ibertsberger
31 K. Radulovic
23 L. Tursch

Coach: G. Scheiblehner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U ✓
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.