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Bundesliga
Referee: B Brand
RB Leipzig
T T S U U
2–2
Full-time
FC Koln
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match RB Leipzig 11. · FC Koln 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
4 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Wolfsburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Werder Bremen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Stuttgart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 RB Leipzig 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Hertha 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 Ein Frankfurt 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig FC Koln
Dani Olmo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
11′
18′
🟨 Jan Thielmann
1–0 T. Werner
B. Henrichs
36′
40′
F. Dietz 1–1
F. Kainz
Half-time 1–1
Dominik Szoboszlai 🟥
46′
J. Gvardiol 🔁
↦ M. Halstenberg
46′
K. Kampl 🔁
↦ Hugo Novoa
46′
48′
🟨 Timo Hübers
2–1 C. Nkunku
Dani Olmo
56′
62′
🔁 O. Duda
↦ E. Martel
62′
🔁 B. Schmitz
↦ K. Ehizibue
62′
🔁 L. Maina
↦ J. Thielmann
André Silva 🔁
↦ T. Werner
67′
72′
🔁 S. Adamyan
↦ F. Dietz
72′
J. Gvardiol 3–1
own goal
73′
🔁 T. Lemperle
↦ D. Ljubičić
76′
🟨 Sargis Adamyan
79′
🟨 Florian Kainz
A. Haidara 🔁
↦ Dani Olmo
87′
Benjamin Henrichs 🟨
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

3-1-4-2
1 P. Gulácsi G
2 M. Simakan D
4 W. Orbán D
23 M. Halstenberg D
39 B. Henrichs M
38 Hugo Novoa M
17 D. Szoboszlai M
7 Dani Olmo M
22 D. Raum M
11 T. Werner F
18 C. Nkunku F
Bench (9)
32 J. Gvardiol
44 K. Kampl
19 André Silva
8 A. Haidara
10 E. Forsberg
35 A. Sørloth
24 X. Schlager
21 J. Blaswich
25 S. Ba

Coach: D. Tedesco

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
20 M. Schwäbe G
19 K. Ehizibue D
15 L. Kilian D
4 T. Hübers D
14 J. Hector D
6 E. Martel M
28 E. Skhiri M
29 J. Thielmann M
7 D. Ljubičić M
11 F. Kainz M
33 F. Dietz F
Bench (9)
18 O. Duda
2 B. Schmitz
37 L. Maina
23 S. Adamyan
25 T. Lemperle
24 J. Chabot
3 K. Pedersen
47 M. Olesen
1 T. Horn

Coach: S. Baumgart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,44
U ✓
4,85
B
7,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Brand · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.