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Bundesliga

Referee: T Welz

Ein Frankfurt

U S T S S

2–0

Full-time

M'gladbach

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,76 xG 1,94

37% Possession 63%

14 Shots 22

4 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 12

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 8. · M'gladbach 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	4	4	0	0	+13	+7.1	12
2	Freiburg	4	3	0	1	+4	+4.2	9
3	Union Berlin	4	2	2	0	+2	-0.2	8
4	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.5	7
5	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.3	7
6	Leverkusen	3	2	0	1	+3	+5.1	6
7	Heidenheim	4	2	0	2	+1	+1.2	6
8	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.8	6
9	Mainz	4	1	2	1	+0	-3.2	5
10	Werder Bremen	4	1	2	1	-4	-1.9	5
11	Stuttgart	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.5	4
12	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	-3	+1.0	4
13	Wolfsburg	3	1	0	2	+0	-1.2	3
14	M'gladbach	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.4	3
15	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-5	-3.3	3
16	Bochum	4	0	1	3	-4	-5.5	1
17	Holstein Kiel	4	0	1	3	-8	-4.3	1
18	St Pauli	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.3	6
2	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+3	+4.1	6
3	Union Berlin	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.4	6
4	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+1	+3.3	4
5	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
7	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
8	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.7	3
9	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.9	3
10	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
11	Mainz	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
12	Bochum	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.7	1
13	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	-5	-3.2	1
14	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.2	0
15	Wolfsburg	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.4	0
16	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
17	M'gladbach	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
18	Holstein Kiel	2	0	0	2	-7	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+11	+6.5	9
2	Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
3	Mainz	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.2	4
4	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.0	3
6	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
7	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.1	3
8	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.2	3
9	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.5	3
10	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.1	3
11	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.2	3
12	Union Berlin	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.6	2
13	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
14	Holstein Kiel	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
15	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.8	0
16	Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
17	St Pauli	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.6	0
18	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.