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Serie A

Referee: F Dionisi

Lazio

S T U T S

6–1

Full-time

Spezia

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

17%

100%

Average goals

1,8

4,0

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

61% Possession 39%

18 Shots 5

10 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lazio 4. · Spezia 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Roma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Roma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
11	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.