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Serie A
Referee: D Orsato
Atalanta
S S S T S
0–0
Full-time
Bologna
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
4,0
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
21 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 1
10 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atalanta 8. · Bologna 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Udinese 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 Roma 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Lazio 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Milan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Juventus 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Cagliari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Spezia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Salernitana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Torino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Verona 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Genoa 1 0 0 1 -4 0
20 Venezia 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atalanta Bologna
35′
🟨 Gary Medel
Robin Gosens 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Nicola Sansone
53′
🟨 Marko Arnautović
57′
🟨 Nicolás Domínguez
60′
🔁 E. Vignato
↦ K. Michael
64′
🟨 Mattias Svanberg
M. Pessina 🔁
↦ R. Malinovskyi
65′
71′
🔁 A. Skov Olsen
↦ R. Orsolini
A. Miranchuk 🔁
↦ M. Pašalić
74′
R. Piccoli 🔁
↦ L. Muriel
74′
José Luis Palomino 🟨
79′
81′
🔁 A. Soumaoro
↦ A. Hickey
81′
🔁 T. Tomiyasu
↦ N. Sansone
D. Zappacosta 🔁
↦ J. Mæhle
86′
S. Lammers 🔁
↦ J. Iličić
87′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
1 J. Musso G
2 R. Tolói D
6 J. Palomino D
19 B. Djimsiti D
8 R. Gosens M
3 J. Mæhle M
72 J. Iličić F
11 R. Freuler M
88 M. Pašalić M
18 R. Malinovskyi F
9 L. Muriel F
Bench (12)
32 M. Pessina
59 A. Miranchuk
99 R. Piccoli
77 D. Zappacosta
7 S. Lammers
66 M. Lovato
57 M. Sportiello
31 F. Rossi
42 G. Scalvini
28 M. Demiral
13 G. Pezzella
24 E. Del Prato

Coach: G. Gasperini

Bologna

4-3-3
28 Ł. Skorupski G
29 L. De Silvestri D
17 G. Medel D
4 K. Bonifazi D
3 A. Hickey D
32 M. Svanberg M
16 K. Michael M
8 N. Domínguez M
9 M. Arnautović F
10 N. Sansone F
7 R. Orsolini F
Bench (12)
55 E. Vignato
11 A. Skov Olsen
5 A. Soumaoro
14 T. Tomiyasu
99 M. Barrow
66 W. Amey
15 I. Mbaye
74 G. Cangiano
20 S. van Hooijdonk
19 F. Santander
2 L. Binks
22 F. Bardi

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,33
U ✓
5,59
B
8,73
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,39
U2,5 ✓
2,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.