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Ligue 1

Referee: B Dechepy

Nice

U S S U T

3–1

Full-time

Montpellier

U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 36%

36%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

61%

Both score Ø 66%

55%

76%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 9. · Montpellier 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	34	23	3	8	+51	72
2	Lille	33	20	10	3	+34	70
3	Monaco	33	21	5	7	+32	68
4	Lyon	33	19	10	4	+33	67
5	Marseille	34	15	10	9	+7	55
6	Lens	33	14	11	8	+7	53
7	Rennes	33	14	9	10	+8	51
8	Montpellier	33	12	11	10	-1	47
9	Nice	33	12	7	14	-3	43
10	Metz	34	11	10	13	-4	43
11	Reims	34	9	14	11	-2	41
12	Angers	33	11	8	14	-16	41
13	Brest	34	11	7	16	-10	40
14	St Etienne	34	10	9	15	-13	39
15	Strasbourg	33	10	7	16	-9	37
16	Bordeaux	33	10	6	17	-13	36
17	Lorient	33	8	8	17	-21	32
18	Nimes	33	8	7	18	-28	31
19	Nantes	33	5	13	15	-18	28
20	Dijon	33	3	9	21	-34	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	17	11	5	1	+22	38
2	Paris SG	17	11	1	5	+25	34
3	Lyon	16	10	3	3	+18	33
4	Lille	17	9	6	2	+15	33
5	Marseille	17	9	4	4	+8	31
6	Brest	17	8	4	5	+4	28
7	Lens	16	6	6	4	+4	24
8	Montpellier	17	7	3	7	+0	24
9	Rennes	16	7	3	6	-1	24
10	Lorient	16	7	2	7	-4	23
11	Reims	17	4	8	5	-3	20
12	Metz	17	5	4	8	-4	19
13	Bordeaux	17	5	4	8	-6	19
14	Nice	16	5	3	8	-6	18
15	Angers	16	5	3	8	-8	18
16	St Etienne	17	4	6	7	-9	18
17	Strasbourg	16	4	4	8	-6	16
18	Nantes	17	2	8	7	-10	14
19	Nimes	17	3	4	10	-14	13
20	Dijon	17	1	6	10	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	12	2	3	+26	38
2	Lille	16	11	4	1	+19	37
3	Lyon	17	9	7	1	+15	34
4	Monaco	16	10	0	6	+10	30
5	Lens	17	8	5	4	+3	29
6	Rennes	17	7	6	4	+9	27
7	Nice	17	7	4	6	+3	25
8	Metz	17	6	6	5	+0	24
9	Marseille	17	6	6	5	-1	24
10	Montpellier	16	5	8	3	-1	23
11	Angers	17	6	5	6	-8	23
12	Reims	17	5	6	6	+1	21
13	Strasbourg	17	6	3	8	-3	21
14	St Etienne	17	6	3	8	-4	21
15	Nimes	16	5	3	8	-14	18
16	Bordeaux	16	5	2	9	-7	17
17	Nantes	16	3	5	8	-8	14
18	Brest	17	3	3	11	-14	12
19	Lorient	17	1	6	10	-17	9
20	Dijon	16	2	3	11	-19	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.