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2. Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
T U S T U
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Hansa Rostock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 71%
67%
75%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

21 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 0
11 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 11. · Hansa Rostock 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Regensburg 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Dresden 4 3 1 0 +7 10
3 Nurnberg 5 2 3 0 +3 9
4 Paderborn 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Karlsruhe 5 2 2 1 +4 8
6 Darmstadt 5 2 1 2 +4 7
7 St Pauli 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Schalke 04 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Hamburg 5 1 3 1 +1 6
10 Heidenheim 5 1 3 1 +0 6
11 Werder Bremen 4 1 2 1 -2 5
12 Hansa Rostock 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 1 1 3 -3 4
14 Sandhausen 5 1 1 3 -5 4
15 Holstein Kiel 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 Ingolstadt 5 1 1 3 -7 4
17 Hannover 5 1 1 3 -8 4
18 Erzgebirge Aue 5 0 3 2 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,78
U
3,68
B
4,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.