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Eliteserien
Referee: M Grøtta
Odd
S T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Stromsgodset
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odd Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
3,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
69%
63%
Both score Ø 60%
56%
63%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Odd 10. · Stromsgodset 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 16 10 3 3 +21 33
2 Bodo/Glimt 16 9 4 3 +18 31
3 Lillestrom 17 9 4 4 +7 31
4 Rosenborg 16 8 4 4 +13 28
5 Kristiansund 16 8 2 6 +1 26
6 Haugesund 17 7 4 6 +2 25
7 Viking 16 7 4 5 -1 25
8 Valerenga 16 5 8 3 +5 23
9 Stromsgodset 16 6 4 6 -1 22
10 Odd 16 6 4 6 -7 22
11 Sandefjord 16 6 3 7 -4 21
12 Sarpsborg 08 16 4 5 7 -9 17
13 Tromso 16 3 6 7 -11 15
14 Mjondalen 17 2 7 8 -3 13
15 Stabaek 16 3 4 9 -14 13
16 Brann 17 2 4 11 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Odd Stromsgodset
9′
H. Stengel 0–1
J. Parr
John Kitolano 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
F. Kastrati 🔁
↦ T. Lauritsen
61′
66′
🟨 Halldor Stenevik
72′
🔁 K. Krasniqi
↦ K. Tokstad
73′
🟨 Herman Stengel
73′
🟨 Ari Leifsson
K. Larsen 🔁
↦ John Kitolano
79′
T. Hallstensen 🔁
↦ S. Owusu
85′
95′
🟨 Fred Friday
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Odd

4-3-3
1 S. Rossbach G
2 E. Ruud D
25 John Kitolano D
4 O. Bjørtuft M
6 M. Lekven D
8 M. Kaasa M
23 S. Owusu D
16 Joshua Gaston Kitolano M
14 C. Wallem F
11 G. Rólantsson F
20 T. Lauritsen F
Bench (8)
9 F. Kastrati
22 K. Larsen
19 T. Hallstensen
15 E. Gayi
12 L. Wahlstedt
18 S. Aas
24 B. Mæland
10 O. Ugwuadu

Coach: J. Nornes

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 V. Myhra G
3 J. Parr D
71 G. Valsvik D
5 N. Gunnarsson D
2 A. Leifsson D
11 K. Tokstad F
7 H. Stengel M
19 H. Stenevik F
8 J. Hove M
17 T. Gulliksen M
9 F. Friday F
Bench (8)
92 K. Krasniqi
55 M. Farji
58 S. Hammershaug
40 M. Sætra
80 A. Nyhagen
26 L. Vilsvik
23 V. Ingimundarson
47 A. Skjold

Coach: B. Ingebretsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Grøtta · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.