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Serie B
Parma
T T T T U
1–0
Full-time
Benevento
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Benevento
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,8
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
7,0
Scored
2,0
4,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

10 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 4
19 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Parma 10. · Benevento 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brescia 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Cittadella 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Pisa 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Ascoli 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Frosinone 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Cremonese 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Benevento 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Perugia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Como 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Parma 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Reggina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Monza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Crotone 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Spal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Pordenone 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Alessandria 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Lecce 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Vicenza 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Cosenza 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,45
U
3,17
B
2,93
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.