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Primeira Liga

Referee: Luis Godinho

Rio Ave

T T U S U

2–3

Full-time

Sp Braga

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,0

3,3

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+2,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

20%

80%

Points per game

1,0

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 40%

60%

20%

Average goals

2,8

4,2

Scored

1,2

3,6

Conceded

1,6

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 24

5 Shots on target 11

4 Blocked shots 5

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 8

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 14. · Sp Braga 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Porto	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	Sp Braga	5	4	1	0	+15	13
4	Portimonense	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Boavista	6	4	0	2	-1	12
6	Casa Pia	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Sp Lisbon	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Guimaraes	6	3	0	3	+0	9
9	Chaves	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Estoril	5	2	1	2	+2	7
12	Arouca	6	2	1	3	-9	7
13	Vizela	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Rio Ave	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Santa Clara	6	1	1	4	-3	4
16	Famalicao	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Pacos Ferreira	6	0	0	6	-10	0
18	Maritimo	6	0	0	6	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Sp Lisbon	3	2	0	1	+5	6
5	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Boavista	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Casa Pia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Estoril	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Famalicao	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Arouca	3	1	0	2	-6	3
15	Chaves	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Vizela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Casa Pia	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Porto	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Chaves	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Boavista	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Vizela	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Sp Lisbon	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Arouca	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Estoril	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Rio Ave	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Famalicao	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-3	0
17	Santa Clara	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.