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Pro League
Referee: A Boucaut
2–1
Full-time
Oostende
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6. · Oostende 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 6 6 0 0 +16 18
2 Anderlecht 5 4 0 1 +8 12
3 Antwerp 4 4 0 0 +6 12
4 Charleroi 7 4 0 3 +1 12
5 Club Brugge 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 Mechelen 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 St. Gilloise 4 2 1 1 -1 7
9 Waregem 6 2 1 3 -2 7
10 Kortrijk 6 2 1 3 -2 7
11 Oostende 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 St Truiden 5 1 3 1 -2 6
13 Cercle Brugge 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Eupen 6 1 0 5 -8 3
15 Seraing 6 1 0 5 -8 3
16 Seraing United 6 1 0 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Oostende
5′
⚽ F. Hornby 0–1
Musa Al-Taamari 🟨
18′
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Thierry Ambrose
1–1 Mario González ⚽
L. Patris
51′
59′
🔁 T. Sakamoto
↦ N. Bätzner
D. Ouédraogo 🔁
↦ H. Mendyl
66′
70′
🟨 Kenny Rocha Santos
72′
🟨 Alfons Amade
74′
🔁 D. Atanga
↦ T. Ambrose
74′
🔁 C. McGeehan
↦ Kenny Rocha Santos
J. Dom 🔁
↦ K. Malinov
81′
R. Holzhauser 🔁
↦ J. Þorsteinsson
81′
83′
🔁 S. Wylin
↦ F. Hornby
M. Kukharevych 🔁
↦ F. Ricca
88′
2–1 M. Maertens ⚽
R. Holzhauser
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-4-1-1
12 V. Cojocaru G
25 L. Patris D
28 E. Pletinckx D
14 F. Ricca D
20 H. Mendyl D
11 Mousa Al Tamari M
24 C. De Norre M
4 K. Malinov M
7 J. Þorsteinsson M
33 M. Maertens F
9 Mario González F
Bench (7)
15 D. Ouédraogo
6 J. Dom
10 R. Holzhauser
17 M. Kukharevych
5 P. Ngawa
29 N. Jackers
21 João Gamboa

Coach: M. Brys

Oostende

3-4-3
28 G. Hubert G
5 F. Katelaris D
33 A. Tanghe D
2 O. Urhoghide D
29 R. D'Haese M
23 A. Amade M
10 Kenny Rocha Santos M
99 A. Albanese M
34 N. Bätzner F
39 F. Hornby F
68 T. Ambrose F
Bench (7)
18 T. Sakamoto
77 D. Atanga
8 C. McGeehan
36 S. Wylin
1 D. Phillips
3 Z. Medley
20 A. Musayev

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,01
U
3,68
B
3,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,11
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

A Boucaut · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.