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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Westerlo
S U U T S
2–3
Full-time
St Truiden
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 12/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
42%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
58%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
50%
36%
Average goals
3,7
1,9
Scored
1,7
0,9
Conceded
2,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

67% Possession 33%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Westerlo 12. · St Truiden 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 13 12 1 0 +27 37
2 Antwerp 13 11 0 2 +15 33
3 Club Brugge 13 9 1 3 +15 28
4 St. Gilloise 11 9 1 1 +14 28
5 Gent 12 7 1 4 +9 22
6 Standard 12 7 0 5 +3 21
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14 6 3 5 +0 21
8 Anderlecht 14 6 1 7 +7 19
9 Charleroi 15 6 1 8 -4 19
10 Cercle Brugge 12 5 3 4 +2 18
11 St Truiden 14 4 5 5 -3 17
12 Westerlo 12 5 2 5 -4 17
13 Mechelen 16 5 2 9 -7 17
14 Oostende 15 4 3 8 -11 15
15 Kortrijk 15 4 2 9 -12 14
16 Waregem 16 4 2 10 -15 14
17 Eupen 15 4 0 11 -16 12
18 Seraing 14 3 2 9 -10 11
19 Seraing United 14 3 2 9 -10 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Westerlo St Truiden
Igor Vetokele 🔁
↦ N. Chadli
13′
24′
G. Bruno 0–1
E. Bocat
Half-time 0–1
Sinan Bolat 🟨
46′
48′
G. Bruno 0–2
1–2 M. De Cuyper
B. Reynolds
54′
57′
🟨 Eric Bocat
Lyle Foster 🟨
62′
67′
🟨 Aboubakary Koita
M. Gümüşkaya 🔁
↦ T. Dierckx
72′
M. Fixelles 🔁
↦ R. Neustädter
72′
72′
🔁 Jorge Teixeira
↦ A. Koita
72′
🔁 S. Van Dessel
↦ E. Bocat
Halil Akbunar ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
80′
82′
🟨 Daiki Hashioka
82′
🔁 S. Kagawa
↦ G. Bruno
2–2 M. De Cuyper
83′
83′
D. Hayashi 2–3
84′
ℹ️ Daichi Hayashi
VAR: Goal confirmed
K. Vaesen 🔁
↦ N. Madsen
88′
Maxim De Cuyper 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Westerlo

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
22 B. Reynolds D
24 R. Tagir D
2 P. Perdichizzi D
11 M. De Cuyper D
33 R. Neustädter M
8 N. Madsen M
55 T. Dierckx M
5 N. Chadli M
35 H. Akbunar M
9 L. Foster F
Bench (7)
25 Igor Vetokele
17 M. Gümüşkaya
4 M. Fixelles
14 K. Vaesen
23 R. Seigers
32 E. Jordanov
20 N. Gillekens

Coach: J. De Roeck

St Truiden

3-5-2
21 D. Schmidt G
4 D. Hashioka D
37 T. Leistner D
22 W. Janssens D
7 A. Koita M
8 D. Hayashi M
27 F. Boya M
44 C. Brüls M
77 E. Bocat M
91 G. Bruno F
30 S. Okazaki F
Bench (7)
26 Jorge Teixeira
19 S. Van Dessel
10 S. Kagawa
14 O. Dumont
11 F. Kaya
16 M. Smets
12 J. Coppens

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,19
U
3,33
B ✓
3,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.