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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
Anderlecht
U S T U S
0–1
Full-time
Charleroi
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
70%
70%
Both score Ø 65%
60%
70%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
21 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
14 Corners 5
3 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 6. · Charleroi 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 9 9 0 0 +14 27
2 Genk 9 8 1 0 +18 25
3 Club Brugge 10 7 1 2 +13 22
4 St. Gilloise 8 6 1 1 +6 19
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 5 2 3 +0 17
6 Anderlecht 10 5 1 4 +8 16
7 Charleroi 10 5 0 5 +0 15
8 St Truiden 9 3 4 2 +2 13
9 Standard 8 4 0 4 -2 12
10 Mechelen 11 3 2 6 -3 11
11 Gent 7 3 1 3 +2 10
12 Oostende 10 3 1 6 -4 10
13 Kortrijk 10 3 1 6 -8 10
14 Westerlo 7 3 0 4 -3 9
15 Seraing 10 3 0 7 -8 9
16 Seraing United 10 3 0 7 -8 9
17 Waregem 11 2 2 7 -11 8
18 Cercle Brugge 7 1 3 3 -6 6
19 Eupen 10 2 0 8 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Charleroi
5′
🟨 Marco Ilaimaharitra
Kristian Arnstad 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
Julien Duranville 🟨
51′
62′
🔁 Y. Badji
↦ A. Hosseinzadeh
65′
R. Morioka 0–1
K. Nkuba
S. Esposito 🔁
↦ K. Arnstad
66′
F. Amuzu 🔁
↦ J. Duranville
67′
M. Stroeykens 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
73′
82′
🟨 Adem Zorgane
85′
🔁 D. Marcq
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
85′
🔁 L. Bessilé
↦ J. Kayembe
90′
🔁 D. Heymans
↦ I. Mbenza
90′
🔁 M. Wasinski
↦ K. Nkuba
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

3-5-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
56 Z. Debast D
4 W. Hoedt D
14 J. Vertonghen D
62 A. Murillo M
61 K. Arnstad
18 M. Ashimeru M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
59 J. Duranville M
99 Fábio Silva F
11 L. Refaelov F
Bench (7)
70 S. Esposito
7 F. Amuzu
29 M. Stroeykens
16 B. Verbruggen
27 N. Sadiki
3 H. Delcroix
21 A. Diawara

Coach: F. Mazzù

Charleroi

3-4-1-2
1 P. Patron G
2 J. Bager D
21 S. Andreou D
12 J. Kayembe D
28 K. Nkuba M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
6 A. Zorgane M
38 J. Tchatchoua M
44 R. Morioka F
7 I. Mbenza F
99 A. Hosseinzadeh F
Bench (7)
10 Y. Badji
25 D. Marcq
5 L. Bessilé
18 D. Heymans
31 M. Wasinski
8 A. Gholizadeh
40 M. Chiacig

Coach: E. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,61
U
4,16
B ✓
5,02
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.