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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Rennes
S T S T U
3–1
Full-time
Lyon
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,19 xG 1,71
48% Possession 52%
23 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rennes 12. · Lyon 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 4 4 0 0 +7 +3.2 12
2 Lille 4 3 1 0 +8 +4.7 10
3 Lyon 3 3 0 0 +5 +4.5 9
4 Monaco 4 3 0 1 +3 +0.6 9
5 Strasbourg 4 3 0 1 +2 +2.1 9
6 Marseille 4 2 0 2 +5 +1.8 6
7 Nice 4 2 0 2 +0 -0.3 6
8 Lens 4 2 0 2 +0 +2.2 6
9 Toulouse 4 2 0 2 -1 -1.7 6
10 Paris FC 4 2 0 2 -2 -1.4 6
11 Angers 4 1 2 1 +0 -1.2 5
12 Rennes 3 1 1 1 -3 -3.0 4
13 Le Havre 4 1 0 3 -2 +0.9 3
14 Nantes 4 1 0 3 -2 -3.8 3
15 Auxerre 4 1 0 3 -3 -0.9 3
16 Lorient 4 1 0 3 -7 -1.2 3
17 Brest 4 0 1 3 -5 -1.8 1
18 Metz 4 0 1 3 -5 -4.5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Lyon
14′
C. Tolisso 0–1
A. Maitland-Niles
Przemysław Frankowski 🟨
26′
43′
🟨 Corentin Tolisso
Half-time 0–1
A. Seidu 🔁
↦ A. Ait Boudlal
46′
M. Tamari 🔁
↦ P. Frankowski
46′
Alidu Seidu 🟨
47′
53′
🟨 Clinton Mata
67′
🔁 R. Ghezzal
↦ A. Karabec
S. Fofana 🔁
↦ D. Cisse
69′
M. Meite 🔁
↦ B. Embolo
69′
74′
🔁 P. Sulc
↦ K. Merah
75′
🟥 Tyler Morton
1–1 A. Rouault
M. Meite
79′
85′
🔁 R. Kluivert
↦ M. Fofana
1–2 R. Descamps
own goal
90′
2–2 M. Meite
M. Tamari
90′
M. Nagida 🔁
↦ L. Blas
99′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rennes

3-5-2
30 B. Samba G
48 A. Ait Boudlal D
97 J. Jacquet D
24 A. Rouault D
95 P. Frankowski M
10 L. Blas M
21 V. Rongier M
6 D. Cisse M
26 Q. Merlin M
9 E. Lepaul F
7 B. Embolo F
Bench (9)
50 M. Silistrie
33 H. Hateboer
3 L. Brassier
36 A. Seidu
18 M. Nagida
8 S. Fofana
39 M. Meite
11 M. Tamari
4 G. Kamara

Coach: Franck Haise

Lyon

4-2-3-1
40 R. Descamps G
98 A. Maitland-Niles D
22 C. Mata D
19 M. Niakhate D
16 Abner Vinicius D
6 T. Tessmann M
23 T. Morton M
7 A. Karabec M
8 C. Tolisso M
11 M. Fofana M
44 K. Merah F
Bench (9)
1 D. Greif
21 R. Kluivert
3 N. Tagliafico
39 M. de Carvalho
10 P. Sulc
17 A. Moreira
18 R. Ghezzal
29 E. Molebe
20 M. Satriano

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,66
U
3,48
B
2,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.