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Serie B
Referee: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta
1–0
Full-time
Mantova
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Virtus Entella Mantova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

28% Possession 72%
15 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Virtus Entella 15. · Mantova 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Modena 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Cesena 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Frosinone 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Carrarese 3 1 2 0 +2 5
5 Venezia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Sudtirol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Reggiana 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Palermo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Monza 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Avellino 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Empoli 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Catanzaro 3 0 3 0 +0 3
13 Mantova 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Juve Stabia 3 0 3 0 +0 3
15 Virtus Entella 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Spezia 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Pescara 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Padova 3 0 1 2 -3 1
19 Bari 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Sampdoria 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Virtus Entella Mantova
1–0 A. Tiritiello
B. Guiu
7′
32′
🔁 T. Maggioni
↦ V. Mantovani
Andrea Franzoni 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
Tommaso Fumagalli 🟨
48′
59′
🔁 C. Falletti
↦ L. Mancuso
59′
🔁 M. Caprini
↦ A. Fiori
59′
🔁 D. Mensah
↦ N. Bonfanti
D. Ankeye 🔁
↦ B. Guiu
65′
A. Debenedetti 🔁
↦ T. Fumagalli
65′
Stefano Di Mario 🟨
74′
L. Parodi 🔁
↦ T. Del Lungo
75′
75′
🔁 Z. Majer
↦ D. Wieser
A. Boccadamo 🔁
↦ S. Di Mario
84′
N. Karic 🔁
↦ M. Dalla Vecchia
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Virtus Entella

3-4-2-1
1 S. Colombi G
57 T. Del Lungo D
6 A. Tiritiello D
15 I. Marconi D
94 F. Mezzoni M
4 M. Nichetti M
27 M. Dalla Vecchia M
26 S. Di Mario M
24 A. Franzoni F
11 B. Guiu F
20 T. Fumagalli F
Bench (12)
22 F. Del Frate
80 R. Rinaldini
77 A. Boccadamo
42 L. Moretti
23 L. Parodi
90 D. Portanova
7 D. Bariti
50 A. Benali
8 N. Karic
5 J. Lipani
45 D. Ankeye
19 A. Debenedetti

Coach: Andrea Chiappella

Mantova

4-2-3-1
1 M. Festa G
17 N. Radaelli D
3 V. Mantovani D
27 A. Castellini D
6 C. Bani D
21 S. Trimboli M
10 D. Wieser M
14 F. Galuppini M
9 L. Mancuso M
11 A. Fiori M
99 N. Bonfanti F
Bench (12)
22 L. Andrenacci
96 T. Maggioni
4 S. Mullen
53 T. Pittino
18 C. Falletti
20 G. Fedel
37 Z. Majer
36 F. Paoletti
30 D. Bragantini
28 M. Caprini
23 T. Marras
7 D. Mensah

Coach: Davide Possanzini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,15
B
3,52
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.