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Eliteserien

Referee: Sivert Amland

Sarpsborg 08

T T T T S

2–1

Full-time

Sandefjord

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Sandefjord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

2,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 39%

30%

47%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

60%

74%

Both score Ø 62%

65%

58%

Average goals

3,1

3,4

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,54 xG 1,75

35% Possession 65%

9 Shots 24

5 Shots on target 8

0 Blocked shots 6

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

4 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 11. · Sandefjord 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	21	15	3	3	+39	+33.8	48
2	Viking	20	14	3	3	+22	+18.7	45
3	Brann	20	12	4	4	+8	+16.4	40
4	Tromso	21	12	3	6	+7	+4.6	39
5	Fredrikstad	20	8	6	6	+4	-0.8	30
6	Rosenborg	19	8	6	5	+2	+5.4	30
7	Valerenga	21	9	3	9	+1	-3.6	30
8	Sandefjord	19	9	1	9	+8	-4.4	28
9	KFUM Oslo	20	7	6	7	+7	+6.1	27
10	Molde	21	8	3	10	+1	+1.0	27
11	Sarpsborg 08	20	6	7	7	+1	+13.1	25
12	Kristiansund	21	6	6	9	-18	-17.6	24
13	Ham-Kam	20	5	6	9	-12	-13.9	21
14	Bryne	21	5	5	11	-12	-4.6	20
15	Stromsgodset	20	4	1	15	-19	-22.0	13
16	Haugesund	20	1	3	16	-39	-32.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	11	8	1	2	+24	+19.9	25
2	Sandefjord	10	8	0	2	+18	+2.0	24
3	Viking	10	7	2	1	+13	+12.3	23
4	Brann	10	7	2	1	+7	+10.3	23
5	Fredrikstad	11	6	2	3	+7	+0.6	20
6	Rosenborg	9	5	4	0	+10	+9.5	19
7	Tromso	10	6	1	3	+5	+6.0	19
8	Valerenga	10	5	2	3	+6	+1.2	17
9	Molde	11	5	1	5	+3	+6.3	16
10	KFUM Oslo	10	4	3	3	+7	+4.4	15
11	Bryne	11	4	3	4	-3	+3.7	15
12	Ham-Kam	10	3	3	4	-6	-7.0	12
13	Kristiansund	10	2	4	4	-5	-7.9	10
14	Sarpsborg 08	9	2	3	4	+0	+3.8	9
15	Stromsgodset	10	2	0	8	-12	-9.2	6
16	Haugesund	10	1	2	7	-19	-9.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	2	1	+15	+13.9	23
2	Viking	10	7	1	2	+9	+6.4	22
3	Tromso	11	6	2	3	+2	-1.3	20
4	Brann	10	5	2	3	+1	+6.1	17
5	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	4	3	+1	+9.3	16
6	Kristiansund	11	4	2	5	-13	-9.7	14
7	Valerenga	11	4	1	6	-5	-4.8	13
8	KFUM Oslo	10	3	3	4	+0	+1.7	12
9	Molde	10	3	2	5	-2	-5.3	11
10	Rosenborg	10	3	2	5	-8	-4.1	11
11	Fredrikstad	9	2	4	3	-3	-1.4	10
12	Ham-Kam	10	2	3	5	-6	-6.9	9
13	Stromsgodset	10	2	1	7	-7	-12.9	7
14	Bryne	10	1	2	7	-9	-8.3	5
15	Sandefjord	9	1	1	7	-10	-6.4	4
16	Haugesund	10	0	1	9	-20	-22.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.