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Serie B
Referee: Federico La Penna
Sudtirol
U U T U S
0–2
Full-time
Palermo
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,3
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
18 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 7. · Palermo 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Modena 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Cesena 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Frosinone 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Carrarese 3 1 2 0 +2 5
5 Venezia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Virtus Entella 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Sudtirol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Reggiana 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Palermo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Monza 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Avellino 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Empoli 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Catanzaro 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Juve Stabia 3 0 3 0 +0 3
15 Mantova 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Spezia 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Pescara 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Padova 3 0 1 2 -3 1
19 Bari 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Sampdoria 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Palermo
2′
J. Pohjanpalo 0–1
21′
🟨 Mattia Bani
Half-time 0–1
R. Odogwu 🔁
↦ E. Pecorino
46′
47′
🟨 Patryk Peda
54′
🔁 S. Diakite
↦ P. Peda
J. Martini 🔁
↦ S. Tronchin
62′
S. Molina 🔁
↦ F. Tait
62′
63′
🔁 C. Gomes
↦ E. Gyasi
68′
🟨 Tommaso Augello
Alessandro Mallamo 🟨
75′
76′
🔁 D. Veroli
↦ T. Augello
76′
🔁 A. Blin
↦ F. Ranocchia
76′
🔁 A. Palumbo
↦ J. Le Douaron
80′
J. Pohjanpalo 0–2
A. Palumbo
J. Italeng 🔁
↦ S. Merkaj
82′
D. Brik 🔁
↦ H. El Kaouakibi
83′
Jacopo Martini 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sudtirol

3-4-1-2
31 M. Adamonis G
28 R. Kofler D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
5 A. Masiello D
94 H. El Kaouakibi M
18 S. Tronchin M
8 A. Mallamo M
24 S. Davi M
21 F. Tait F
33 S. Merkaj F
9 E. Pecorino F
Bench (12)
1 G. Poluzzi
62 D. Theiner
3 F. Bordon
23 F. Davi
4 D. Mancini
46 D. Brik
17 D. Casiraghi
6 J. Martini
79 S. Molina
7 K. Zedadka
11 J. Italeng
90 R. Odogwu

Coach: Fabrizio Castori

Palermo

3-4-2-1
66 J. Joronen G
29 P. Peda D
13 M. Bani D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
27 N. Pierozzi M
8 J. Segre M
10 F. Ranocchia M
3 T. Augello M
21 J. Le Douaron F
11 E. Gyasi F
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (11)
30 M. Avella
63 N. Balaguss
23 S. Diakite
72 D. Veroli
28 A. Blin
17 S. Giovane
6 C. Gomes
5 A. Palumbo
14 A. Vasic
9 M. Brunori
31 G. Corona

Coach: Filippo Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,56
U
3,15
B ✓
2,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Federico La Penna · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.