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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Antwerp
T U T U S
1–2
Full-time
Gent
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,20 xG 1,57
61% Possession 39%
22 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 6
9 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 5 3 2 0 +9 +9.6 11
2 St Truiden 5 3 2 0 +5 +6.2 11
3 Anderlecht 4 3 0 1 +6 +5.5 9
4 Club Brugge 4 3 0 1 +3 +3.2 9
5 Mechelen 5 2 2 1 +1 +0.8 8
6 Cercle Brugge 5 2 1 2 +2 -0.3 7
7 Waregem 7 2 1 4 -3 -3.6 7
8 RAAL La Louviere 7 2 1 4 -3 -6.4 7
9 Standard 5 1 2 2 -4 -3.2 5
10 Charleroi 3 1 1 1 +1 +0.3 4
11 Westerlo 4 1 0 3 -5 -1.4 3
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 1 0 2 -6 -1.3 3
13 Dender 6 0 1 5 -8 -8.2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Gent
14′
🟥 Samuel Kotto
Yuto Tsunashima 🟨
17′
21′
🔁 J. Duverne
↦ M. Delorge-Knieper
Daam Foulon 🟨
29′
31′
🟨 Siebe Van Der Heyden
1–0 R. Bozhinov
D. Foulon
36′
45′
M. Skoras 1–1
A. Kadri
Half-time 1–1
M. Urinboev 🔁
↦ Y. Tsunashima
46′
47′
M. Samoise 1–2
O. Gandelman
53′
🟨 Jean-Kévin Duverne
Vincent Janssen ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
60′
Y. Hamdaoui 🔁
↦ M. Diawara
61′
M. Al Sahafi 🔁
↦ I. Babadi
66′
Youssef Hamdaoui 🟨
74′
77′
🔁 F. Surdez
↦ M. Skoras
A. Verstraeten 🔁
↦ D. Foulon
80′
K. Kouyate 🔁
↦ Z. Van Den Bosch
80′
Marwan Alsahafi 🟨
88′
91′
🔁 T. De Vlieger
↦ A. Kadri
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Antwerp

3-1-4-2
15 Y. Thoelen G
4 Y. Tsunashima D
33 Z. Van Den Bosch D
26 R. Bozhinov D
8 D. Praet M
24 T. Somers M
10 I. Babadi M
34 M. Diawara M
5 D. Foulon M
7 G. Kerk F
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (9)
41 T. Nozawa
9 M. Al Sahafi
16 M. Benitez
19 M. Urinboev
21 A. Verstraeten
23 G. Bijl
25 K. Kouyate
43 Y. Hamdaoui
92 D. Gabriel Jesus

Coach: Stef Wils

Gent

3-4-2-1
33 D. Roef G
22 L. Lopes D
2 S. Kotto D
44 S. Van Der Heyden D
18 M. Samoise M
17 M. Delorge-Knieper M
15 A. Ito M
8 M. Skoras M
6 O. Gandelman F
37 A. Kadri F
7 W. Kanga F
Bench (9)
30 K. Peersman
20 T. Araujo
26 B. Lagae
29 J. Duverne
11 M. Sonko
14 D. Vanzeir
19 F. Surdez
27 T. De Vlieger
45 H. Goore

Coach: Ivan Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
U
3,45
B ✓
2,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.