← Match Finder
Europa League
Referee: C Pawson
Ajax
S T S S S
3–1
Full-time
AEK
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Ajax AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
4,5
1,5
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 17%
14%
20%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
43%
40%
Both score Ø 59%
57%
60%
Average goals
3,6
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,73 xG 0,68
42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 AEK – Ajax 1–1

Match report

Ajax AEK
1–0 C. Akpom ⚽
K. Hlynsson
5′
Brian Brobbey 🟨
8′
Borna Sosa 🟨
10′
11′
⚽ L. García 1–1
N. Eliasson
15′
🟨 Nordin Amrabat
2–1 K. Taylor ⚽
J. Hato
20′
35′
🟨 Domagoj Vida
Half-time 2–1
A. Martha 🔁
↦ B. Brobbey
46′
47′
🟨 Harold Moukoudi
Jorrel Hato 🟨
54′
3–1 C. Akpom ⚽
A. Martha
56′
61′
🔁 R. Pizarro
↦ N. Amrabat
A. Gaaei 🔁
↦ Carlos Forbs
62′
T. Gooijer 🔁
↦ D. Rensch
74′
Josip Šutalo 🟨
76′
83′
🔁 J. Jønsson
↦ L. García
83′
🔁 K. Galanopoulos
↦ H. Moukoudi
G. Mikautadze 🔁
↦ K. Hlynsson
86′
91′
🔁 M. Mohammadi
↦ D. Szymański
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
40 D. Ramaj G
2 D. Rensch D
37 J. Šutalo D
4 J. Hato D
25 B. Sosa D
38 K. Hlynsson M
33 B. Tahirović M
8 K. Taylor M
10 C. Akpom F
9 B. Brobbey F
11 Carlos Forbs F
Bench (10)
42 A. Martha
3 A. Gaaei
47 T. Gooijer
19 G. Mikautadze
49 J. Banel
1 G. Rulli
53 T. de Graaff
30 G. Ávila
17 A. Salah-Eddine
18 J. Medić

Coach: J. van 't Schip

AEK

4-2-3-1
30 G. Athanasiadis G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
28 E. Hajisafi D
4 D. Szymański M
20 P. Mantalos M
19 N. Eliasson M
10 S. Zuber M
5 N. Amrabat M
7 L. García F
Bench (7)
70 R. Pizarro
6 J. Jønsson
25 K. Galanopoulos
3 M. Mohammadi
29 D. Sidibé
99 G. Theocharis
24 G. Mitoglou

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.