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Conference League
Referee: Luís Godinho
1–1
Full-time
Fiorentina
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferencvarosi TC Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 11/7 matches
Win Ø 65%
73%
57%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
73%
57%
Both score Ø 49%
55%
43%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,6
2,1
Conceded
0,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,77 xG 1,28
38% Possession 62%
6 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ferencvarosi TC Fiorentina
10′
🟨 Rolando Mandragora
20′
🔁 J. Ikoné
↦ N. González
31′
🟨 Nikola Milenković
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Zachariassen
48′
K. Lisztes 🔁
↦ B. Varga
58′
Ibrahim Cissé 🟨
60′
63′
🔁 M'Bala Nzola
↦ R. Mandragora
63′
🔁 C. Kouamé
↦ J. Brekalo
E. Botka 🔁
↦ E. Ćivić
65′
73′
L. Ranieri 1–1
M. Bešić 🔁
↦ B. Katona
79′
M. Ben Romdhane 🔁
↦ A. Esiti
80′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC

4-2-3-1
90 D. Dibusz G
25 Č. Makreckis D
44 I. Aaneba D
27 I. Cissé D
17 E. Ćivić D
13 A. Esiti M
15 M. Abu Fani M
55 B. Katona M
16 K. Zachariassen M
50 Marquinhos M
19 B. Varga F
Bench (10)
76 K. Lisztes
21 E. Botka
5 M. Bešić
7 M. Ben Romdhane
72 A. Pešić
18 D. Sigér
63 D. Radnóti
11 O. Kwabena
23 L. Pászka
1 Á. Varga

Coach: D. Stanković

Fiorentina

4-2-3-1
53 O. Christensen G
33 M. Kayode D
4 N. Milenković D
16 L. Ranieri D
65 F. Parisi D
38 R. Mandragora M
8 M. Lopez M
10 N. González M
72 A. Barák M
77 J. Brekalo M
9 L. Beltrán F
Bench (11)
11 J. Ikoné
18 M'Bala Nzola
99 C. Kouamé
37 P. Comuzzo
73 L. Amatucci
28 L. Martínez Quarta
26 Y. Mina
70 N. Pierozzi
1 P. Terracciano
40 T. Vannucchi
19 G. Infantino

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luís Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.