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Europa League
Referee: R Jones
Leverkusen
S S U S U
5–1
Full-time
Molde
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
100%
40%
Points per game
3,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
2,8
2,2
Conceded
0,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+2,4
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,64 xG 0,45
67% Possession 33%
20 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 Molde – Leverkusen 1–2

Match report

Leverkusen Molde
1–0 P. Schick ⚽
R. Andrich
6′
2–0 E. Tapsoba ⚽
J. Hofmann
22′
2–1 M. Ellingsen ⚽
own goal
25′
Jonathan Tah 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 M. Bjørnbak
↦ M. Kaasa
Álex Grimaldo 🔁
↦ J. Tah
59′
A. Adli 🔁
↦ J. Hofmann
59′
N. Mbamba 🔁
↦ P. Schick
59′
3–1 A. Hložek ⚽
N. Mbamba
60′
4–1 A. Hložek ⚽
N. Tella
70′
71′
🔁 N. Ødegård
↦ M. Grødem
71′
🔁 G. Nyheim
↦ F. Gulbrandsen
75′
⚽ E. Kitolano 4–2
M. Ellingsen
K. Izekor 🔁
↦ E. Tapsoba
77′
Alejandro Grimaldo 🟨
78′
85′
🔁 L. Juberg-Hovland
↦ E. Kitolano
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Leverkusen

5-3-2
36 N. Lomb G
19 N. Tella D
2 J. Stanišić D
4 J. Tah D
12 E. Tapsoba D
3 P. Hincapié D
7 J. Hofmann M
8 R. Andrich M
32 G. Puerta M
14 P. Schick F
23 A. Hložek F
Bench (11)
20 Álex Grimaldo
21 A. Adli
18 N. Mbamba
38 K. Izekor
22 V. Boniface
30 J. Frimpong
6 O. Kossounou
17 M. Kovář
10 F. Wirtz
34 G. Xhaka
47 A. Aourir

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Molde

3-5-2
12 O. Petersen G
19 E. Haugan D
25 A. Hagelskjær D
6 M. Ellingsen D
31 M. Løvik M
20 K. Eriksen M
15 M. Kaasa M
22 M. Grødem M
28 K. Haugen M
8 F. Gulbrandsen F
10 E. Kitolano F
Bench (11)
2 M. Bjørnbak
33 N. Ødegård
50 G. Nyheim
37 L. Juberg-Hovland
21 M. Linnes
34 P. Lervik
7 M. Eikrem
46 A. Myklebust
3 C. Øyvann
55 M. Eikrem Myklebust
36 F. Heggdal Kristoffersen

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Jones · 186 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.