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Europa League
Referee: J Xhaja
Qarabag
S S T T U
2–1
Full-time
Hacken
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Hacken
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
56%
33%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
44%
78%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,6
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,60 xG 1,61
43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 Hacken – Qarabag 0–1

Match report

Qarabag Hacken
1–0 Leandro Andrade ⚽
1′
22′
🟨 Even Hovland
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 P. Dahbo
↦ M. Rygaard
2–0 Y. Benzia ⚽
48′
Marko Vešović ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
55′
Marko Vešović 🟥
56′
Matheus Silva 🔁
↦ Y. Benzia
60′
63′
🔁 I. Abdulrazak
↦ S. Sandberg
67′
🟨 Momodou Sonko
70′
🔁 J. Dembe
↦ A. Youssef
82′
🔁 O. Kamara
↦ M. Sonko
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ Juninho
85′
N. Axundzadə 🔁
↦ Leandro Andrade
85′
R. Xhixha 🔁
↦ A. Zoubir
89′
Patrick Andrade 🔁
↦ M. Janković
89′
94′
⚽ B. Hüseynov 3–0
own goal
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 A. Lunev G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
55 B. Hüseynov D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
18 Juninho F
Bench (12)
2 Matheus Silva
27 T. Bayramov
90 N. Axundzadə
19 R. Xhixha
66 Patrick Andrade
17 H. Keyta
89 A. Ramazanov
5 M. Medvedev
20 R. Almeyda
4 R. Məmmədov
30 A. Hüseynov
23 L. Gugeshashvili

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Hacken

4-3-3
26 P. Abrahamsson G
13 S. Sandberg D
4 Aiham Ousou D
5 E. Hovland D
21 T. Totland D
18 M. Rygaard M
11 S. Gustafson M
27 R. Amané M
17 E. Chilufya F
10 A. Youssef F
23 M. Sonko F
Bench (9)
16 P. Dahbo
8 I. Abdulrazak
33 J. Dembe
9 O. Kamara
19 S. Hrstić
35 S. Jansson
25 A. Faye
30 S. Banožić
1 J. Brattberg

Coach: P. Høgmo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Xhaja · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.