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Europa League
Referee: J Brisard
Roma
U S U S U
3–0
Full-time
Sheriff Tiraspol
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Sheriff Tiraspol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/9 matches
Win Ø 41%
60%
22%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
40%
78%
Both score Ø 65%
40%
89%
Average goals
2,6
3,8
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,00 xG 0,40
60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 Sheriff Tiraspol – Roma 1–2

Match report

Roma Sheriff Tiraspol
1–0 R. Lukaku ⚽
N. Zalewski
11′
24′
🟨 Amine Talal
2–0 A. Belotti ⚽
32′
36′
🔁 A. Zohouri
↦ K. Apostolakis
Half-time 2–0
S. El Shaarawy 🔁
↦ H. Aouar
46′
L. Paredes 🔁
↦ Diego Llorente
60′
61′
🟨 Ricardinho
R. Pagano 🔁
↦ Renato Sanches
61′
72′
🔁 Luvannor
↦ D. Ankeye
N. Pisilli 🔁
↦ A. Belotti
73′
Edoardo Bove 🟨
77′
M. Mannini 🔁
↦ N. Zalewski
86′
86′
🔁 B. Vardar
↦ C. Badolo
3–0 N. Pisilli ⚽
R. Lukaku
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Roma

3-5-2
99 M. Svilar G
19 Z. Çelik D
4 B. Cristante D
14 Diego Llorente D
2 R. Karsdorp M
20 Renato Sanches M
52 E. Bove M
22 H. Aouar M
59 N. Zalewski M
90 R. Lukaku F
11 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
92 S. El Shaarawy
16 L. Paredes
60 R. Pagano
61 N. Pisilli
66 M. Mannini
1 Rui Patrício
7 L. Pellegrini
67 João Costa
70 M. Plaia
65 M. Vetkal
63 P. Boer
64 L. Cherubini

Coach: José Mourinho

Sheriff Tiraspol

4-1-4-1
35 M. Koval G
16 K. Apostolakis D
23 C. Tovar D
4 M. Garan'anga D
28 A. Artunduaga D
14 A. Talal M
17 J. Mbekeli M
11 Ricardinho M
10 C. Badolo M
8 João Paulo M
30 D. Ankeye F
Bench (8)
20 A. Zohouri
90 Luvannor
22 B. Vardar
33 S. Paşcenco
1 V. Straistari
32 R. Scurtul
29 V. Coliş
27 Vinícius Paiva

Coach: R. Pilipchuk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.