Europa League
Referee: Nikola Dabanovic
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
🔒
Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Lille
PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 0–3
1,59
xG
2,40
65%
Possession
35%
22
Shots
8
11
Shots on target
7
5
Blocked shots
0
3
Goalkeeper saves
8
13
Corners
2
3
Offside
0
7
Free kicks against
15
1
Yellow cards
5
0
Red cards
1
Match report
Lille
PAOK
🔁
A. Bianco
↦ M. Camara
⚽
S. Meite
0–1
A. Zivkovic
⚽
A. Zivkovic
0–2
G. Michailidis
🟨
Andrija Živković
Matías Fernández
ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
⚽
G. Konstantelias
0–3
F. Chalov
🟨
Tomasz Kędziora
Half-time 0–3
T. Meunier
🔁
↦ T. Santos
C. Mbemba
🔁
↦ N. Ngoy
Ugo Raghouber
🟨
1–3 B. Andre
⚽
C. Verdonk
O. Giroud
🔁
↦ F. Correia
A. Bouaddi
🔁
↦ U. Raghouber
🔁
G. Giakoumakis
↦ F. Chalov
2–3 H. Igamane
⚽
T. Meunier
⚽
A. Zivkovic
2–4
K. Despodov
3–4 H. Igamane
⚽
C. Mbemba
🔁
D. Pelkas
↦ K. Despodov
H. Haraldsson
🔁
↦ O. Sahraoui
🟨
Antonis Tsiftsis
🟨
Giorgos Giakoumakis
Benjamin André
ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
🟨
Tomasz Kędziora
🟥
Tomasz Kędziora
Full-time 3–4
Line-ups
Lille
4-2-3-1
1
B. Ozer
G
B. Ozer
G
22
T. Santos
D
T. Santos
D
3
N. Ngoy
D
N. Ngoy
D
23
A. Mandi
D
A. Mandi
D
24
C. Verdonk
D
C. Verdonk
D
28
U. Raghouber
M
U. Raghouber
M
21
B. Andre
M
B. Andre
M
27
F. Correia
M
F. Correia
M
11
O. Sahraoui
M
O. Sahraoui
M
7
M. Fernandez-Pardo
M
M. Fernandez-Pardo
M
29
H. Igamane
F
Bench (12)
16
A. Bodart
50
S. Merzouk
6
N. Bentaleb
9
O. Giroud
10
H. Haraldsson
12
T. Meunier
14
M. Broholm
15
R. Perraud
17
N. Mukau
18
C. Mbemba
32
A. Bouaddi
35
S. Diaoune
Coach: Bruno Génésio
PAOK
4-2-3-1
99
A. Tsiftsis
G
A. Tsiftsis
G
3
J. Kenny
D
J. Kenny
D
16
T. Kedziora
D
5
G. Michailidis
D
G. Michailidis
D
21
A. R. Baba
D
A. R. Baba
D
2
M. Camara
M
M. Camara
M
8
S. Meite
M
77
K. Despodov
M
65
G. Konstantelias
M
G. Konstantelias
M
14
A. Zivkovic
M
A. Zivkovic
M
9
F. Chalov
F
Bench (12)
1
J. Pavlenka
41
D. Monastirlis
4
A. Vogliacco
6
D. Lovren
7
G. Giakoumakis
10
D. Pelkas
18
L. Ivanusec
22
A. Bianco
23
J. Sastre
25
K. Thymianis
32
G. Taylor
39
D. Berdos
Coach: Răzvan Lucescu
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.