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Conference League
Referee: Tobias Stieler
AZ Alkmaar
U T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Slovan Bratislava
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Slovan Bratislava
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 36%
71%
0%
Points per game
2,1
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 86%
71%
100%
Both score Ø 65%
29%
100%
Average goals
3,9
3,0
Scored
2,6
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,34 xG 0,17
62% Possession 38%
30 Shots 3
11 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
12 Corners 0
4 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Slovan Bratislava
15′
🟨 César Blackman
Weslley Patati ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
32′
1–0 S. Mijnans ⚽
D. Kasius
44′
Half-time 1–0
Ibrahim Sadiq ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
48′
Ibrahim Sadiq 🟨
58′
58′
🟨 Dominik Takáč
T. Parrott 🔁
↦ I. Sadiq
64′
64′
🔁 K. Wimmer
↦ N. Marcelli
R. Daal 🔁
↦ I. Jensen
72′
M. Sin 🔁
↦ Weslley Patati
72′
74′
🔁 A. Yirajang
↦ C. Blackman
74′
🔁 R. Mak
↦ R. Ibrahim
77′
🟨 Kenan Bajrić
83′
🟨 Danylo Ignatenko
85′
🔁 A. Gajdos
↦ A. Sporar
85′
🔁 A. Mustafic
↦ K. Savvidis
87′
🟥 Sandro Cruz
D. Kwakman 🔁
↦ K. Smit
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 R. Owusu-Oduro G
30 D. Kasius D
3 W. Goes D
4 M. Dekker D
34 M. de Wit D
6 P. Koopmeiners M
10 S. Mijnans M
26 K. Smit M
7 Weslley Patati F
11 I. Sadiq F
17 I. Jensen F
Bench (10)
12 H. Verhulst
41 J. Zoet
9 T. Parrott
15 M. Chavez Garcia
21 D. Kwakman
22 E. Dijkstra
23 B. van Duijl
25 L. Zeefuik
27 R. Daal
33 M. Sin

Coach: Maarten Martens

Slovan Bratislava

4-3-3
71 D. Takac G
28 C. Blackman D
4 G. Kashia D
12 K. Bajric D
57 S. Cruz D
77 D. Ignatenko M
88 K. Savvidis M
5 R. Ibrahim
11 T. Barseghyan F
99 A. Sporar F
18 N. Marcelli F
Bench (10)
1 M. Trnovsky
44 M. Macik
3 P. Pokorny
6 K. Wimmer
8 A. Gajdos
14 A. Yirajang
19 S. Fogning
20 A. Mustafic
21 R. Mak
26 F. Lichy

Coach: Vladimír Weiss

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.