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Europa League
Referee: Jakob Kehlet
Fenerbahce
T S S U S
1–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,79 xG 1,00
35% Possession 65%
19 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 15
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fenerbahce Stuttgart
21′
🟨 Bilal El Khannouss
Edson Álvarez 🟨
26′
31′
🟨 Angelo Stiller
1–0 K. Akturkoglu ⚽
34′
Half-time 1–0
Nélson Semedo 🟨
49′
Dorgeles Nene ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
62′
63′
🔁 D. Undav
↦ B. Bouanani
68′
ℹ️ Angelo Stiller
VAR: Penalty cancelled
77′
🔁 J. Leweling
↦ R. Hendriks
77′
🔁 N. Nartey
↦ A. Karazor
O. Aydin 🔁
↦ D. Nene
80′
Jayden Oosterwolde 🟨
82′
S. Szymanski 🔁
↦ M. Asensio
82′
Milan Škriniar 🟨
86′
86′
🔁 C. Fuhrich
↦ T. Tomas
86′
🔁 F. Jeltsch
↦ L. Jaquez
J. Duran 🔁
↦ Y. En Nesyri
87′
Talisca 🔁
↦ K. Akturkoglu
87′
Jhon Durán 🟨
89′
İsmail Yüksek 🟨
98′
98′
🟨 Deniz Undav
99′
🟨 Jeff Chabot
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-3-3
31 Ederson G
27 N. Semedo D
37 M. Skriniar D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
3 A. Brown D
21 M. Asensio M
11 E. Alvarez M
5 I. Yuksek M
45 D. Nene F
19 Y. En Nesyri F
9 K. Akturkoglu F
Bench (10)
1 I. Egribayat
13 T. Cetin
4 C. Soyuncu
7 Fred
10 J. Duran
14 Y. E. Demir
18 M. Muldur
53 S. Szymanski
70 O. Aydin
94 Talisca

Coach: Domenico Tedesco

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
33 A. Nubel G
14 L. Jaquez D
24 J. Chabot D
3 R. Hendriks D
22 L. Assignon M
16 A. Karazor M
6 A. Stiller M
7 M. Mittelstadt M
27 B. Bouanani F
11 B. El Khannouss F
8 T. Tomas F
Bench (11)
1 F. Bredlow
44 F. Hellstern
4 J. Vagnoman
10 C. Fuhrich
18 J. Leweling
23 D. Zagadou
26 D. Undav
28 N. Nartey
29 F. Jeltsch
30 C. Andres
45 L. Jovanovic

Coach: Sebastian Hoeneß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jakob Kehlet · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.